Sleeping Giant, etc. but an interesting read nonetheless. David Hale does really interesting work for ESPN.
By the numbers: Will the Tar Heels have the ACC's
By the numbers: Will the Tar Heels have the ACC's
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Interesting. I've not heard that before regarding the Heels.Originally posted by Raising Heel:
Sleeping Giant,
It can be very tempting and dangerous to confuse correlation and causation. Just because two things are related doesn't mean one caused the other.Originally posted by ball4me2:
Let's see how it goes because "statistics lie and liars use statistics" is what's racing through my mind. I'm not saying the writer is falsifying anything, but just a lot more to projections than crunching last years numbers and returning starters.
Agreed, all very good points and directly related to actual results.Originally posted by Raising Heel:
It can be very tempting and dangerous to confuse correlation and causation. Just because two things are related doesn't mean one caused the other.Originally posted by ball4me2:
Let's see how it goes because "statistics lie and liars use statistics" is what's racing through my mind. I'm not saying the writer is falsifying anything, but just a lot more to projections than crunching last years numbers and returning starters.
Yes, he saw an uptick in offensive production among teams that returned 9+ starters. That's a correlation. But there could have been any number of other factors that accounted for the increase in offense. Did those teams get new offensive coordinators? Did they play weaker competition? Was one of the non-returning starters a critical position like QB or RB? Etc.
Originally posted by scoutsupreme:
Answer to the OP is no...Unless we can establish a 1000 yd rusher that isn't the QB.