Advanced stats say it wasn't a "bad" win
- Thread starter blazers
- Start date
If you have to compare yourself to others to justify your play, that's probably not a good thing.
Fans weren't happy with the day, but a high rate of success is better than low rate of success, and relative to the rest of CFB we were actually pretty successful in most plays on the day. So this probably says more about fans expectation vs reality. We played well while App was moving the chains but just barely and kinda pulling stuff out of thin air.
LOL. What rationalizing bullshit. I did an in-depth evaluation also. I watched the game.
Where would App St. be on that chart? I wonder what success rate we helped them achieve, where we weren't supposed to let them achieve much of anything.
The cold hard fact; that game was a stark letdown from our first game.
ETA; I know where they are on the chart. Where would they be is what I meant.
Where would App St. be on that chart? I wonder what success rate we helped them achieve, where we weren't supposed to let them achieve much of anything.
The cold hard fact; that game was a stark letdown from our first game.
ETA; I know where they are on the chart. Where would they be is what I meant.
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A 2OT win by the skin of your teeth against an 18 point underdog at home? Put on all the lipstick you want but it's still a pig.
The stats basically say if we each play the same "type" (scheme & execution) of game 10 times, then on average we're beating them by much more and there isn't nearly as much nail-biting.
So the outcome was a "pig", but on average we were actually doing a pretty decent job of what we were supposed to do.
those stats are basically saying they aren't considering all the stats. There are two teams in a football game. It isn't just about how well you did on offense. It's also about how well you allowed the other team to do on its offense.
If we're talking strictly offense, the stats are misleading because they don't consider the stand-alone effectiveness of the opposing defense.
What that chart tells me is, we play somebody good we get creamed if we play like that.
It is net success rate, so both O and D. I don't think it includes special teams...
so you say it is computing defensive success as well? In that case, it's just pure baloney.
