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Are Heels now a lock for NCAA Tournament?

mjrocks23

Sophomore
Feb 7, 2008
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Or do they have more to do? Also, what are chances they get double bye for ACC Tournament?
 
Unless they go on a 3 game skid should be in, but nothing impossible with this team. Question now is how high can they raise their seeding. With the tourny played in a bubble there will be no favorable regions for UNC so seeding is really key. As far as double bye - who knows. 11-5 should be in top four if Heels win out. The split with FSU could be huge in Noles win conf but UNC loses tie-breaker to UVa, Clemson and GT
 
They must win one more game. Any game. Chance of a double bye is 23%
I agree with this. Hopefully one of the next two. I would like to see them win both this week, and depending on how they then do in ACC tourney - could possibly work up to a 6 or 7 seed (ceiling)?

Syracuse is probably better than they have been given credit for. It depends on if Heels actually show up to play for 40 minutes, take care of the ball, and get it inside.

Heels have no business, really, losing to Duke in DES.

If the Heels lose three in a row at this time of year , they deserve to stay home.
 
Unless they go on a 3 game skid should be in, but nothing impossible with this team. Question now is how high can they raise their seeding. With the tourny played in a bubble there will be no favorable regions for UNC so seeding is really key. As far as double bye - who knows. 11-5 should be in top four if Heels win out. The split with FSU could be huge in Noles win conf but UNC loses tie-breaker to UVa, Clemson and GT
It sure would be nice if Heels got to a 7 or even a 6 seed, or I would be OK with a 10. If they end up as an 8 or 9, that means they would be facing a 1 seed if they won the first round (8/9) game. The prospects of this Heels team prevailing at all, let alone on 2 days rest against a 1 seed, like Zags, Baylor, Michigan, OSU - are slim to none.
 
Absolutely not! Far from a "lock", at this point. They'll need to win at least one of the remaining regular season games, and probably two ACCT games.
 
On the contrary, absolutely a lock no matter what we do in the next 2 games! We are playing for seeding in both tourneys! But for security sake let's just win out!
 
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North Carolina Basketball
Predictions Update
Feb 28, 2021
After beating Florida St 78-70 yesterday, North Carolina is now projected to finish the regular season 16-9 (10-6 ACC).
The odds that the Tar Heels make the NCAA tournament are up to 100%, an increase of 3% since yesterday.
We currently rank North Carolina as the #31 team in the country, and the #4 team in the ACC.
Next game: Mon, Mar 1 at #53 Syracuse. Our power ratings give the Tar Heels a 53% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA TournamentGet Automatic NCAA BidProjected Seed
100%8%10
North Carolina is a lock to make the NCAA tournament, regardless of whether they win the ACC tournament.
We project the Tar Heels with a 17% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 2% chance to reach the Final Four.

Regular Season Record Projection
Current RecordProjection For Remaining GamesProjected
Final Record
15-8
(9-5 ACC)
1-1
(1-1 ACC)
16-9
(10-6 ACC)
The more precise final record expectation for North Carolina is 16.1 wins and 8.9 losses, slightly better than the rounded projection above.
More North Carolina Projections | Projections For All ACC Teams
ACC Tournament Projections
Get ACC #1 SeedProjected SeedWin ACC Tournament
0%58%
The chance of North Carolina winning the ACC tournament has increased by 1% since yesterday.
 
North Carolina Basketball
Predictions Update
Feb 28, 2021
After beating Florida St 78-70 yesterday, North Carolina is now projected to finish the regular season 16-9 (10-6 ACC).
The odds that the Tar Heels make the NCAA tournament are up to 100%, an increase of 3% since yesterday.
We currently rank North Carolina as the #31 team in the country, and the #4 team in the ACC.
Next game: Mon, Mar 1 at #53 Syracuse. Our power ratings give the Tar Heels a 53% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA TournamentGet Automatic NCAA BidProjected Seed
100%8%10
North Carolina is a lock to make the NCAA tournament, regardless of whether they win the ACC tournament.
We project the Tar Heels with a 17% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 2% chance to reach the Final Four.

Regular Season Record Projection
Current RecordProjection For Remaining GamesProjected
Final Record
15-8
(9-5 ACC)
1-1
(1-1 ACC)
16-9
(10-6 ACC)
The more precise final record expectation for North Carolina is 16.1 wins and 8.9 losses, slightly better than the rounded projection above.
More North Carolina Projections | Projections For All ACC Teams
ACC Tournament Projections
Get ACC #1 SeedProjected SeedWin ACC Tournament
0%58%
The chance of North Carolina winning the ACC tournament has increased by 1% since yesterday.
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What are you even arguing? I said if they win tonight they are in.
What are you arguing?

Absolutely not! Far from a "lock", at this point. They'll need to win at least one of the remaining regular season games, and probably two ACCT games.
They'll need to win at least one of the remaining regular season
That's simply not the case. Win tonight and they are in.

They haven't won yet. It looks pretty bad at the moment
 
dont count your chickens before they hatch .... we are the worst 3pt shooting D prolly in the country ......
 
The Duke finale is once again going to be HUGE for NCAA ramifications. It just won't be for who will be a 1 seed, or 1 seed close to home, as it so often was. This time it's vital for trying to get the backdoor left open to sneak into the dance at all.
 
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