Defending your home court

[Archer2]

The ACC is as tough, top to bottom, as it's been in a while. It's been pretty top heavy for a while. But this year, not being prepared to play can mean a loss against any other ACC team, especially on the road. Our loss at GT and our 3 point win at Clemson demonstrate this amply. As you can see, there is a very significant advantage to playing at home, as expected. So it is very important to defend your home court and steal a few on the road in order to win the regular season.

Winning percentages all games(neutral sites are considered away games):

Home: 137-20... 87%
Away/Neutral: 26-33...44%

Winning percentages ACC games only:

Home: 28-12...70%
Away: 10-26...38%

Half of our remaining 12 games are on the road. Here's hoping we can take each game one at a time, keep winning at home and steal a few more on the road. I still think the regular season champ will have 3-4 losses.

Home games: VT, PITT, ND, UVA, LOU, d00k
Away games: BC, MIA, d00k, NVSU, PITT, UVA

 

[Steat]

The ACC is as tough, top to bottom, as it's been in a while. It's been pretty top heavy for a while. But this year, not being prepared to play can mean a loss against any other ACC team, especially on the road. Our loss at GT and our 3 point win at Clemson demonstrate this amply. As you can see, there is a very significant advantage to playing at home, as expected. So it is very important to defend your home court and steal a few on the road in order to win the regular season.

Winning percentages all games(neutral sites are considered away games):

Home: 137-20... 87%
Away/Neutral: 26-33...44%

Winning percentages ACC games only:

Home: 28-12...70%
Away: 10-26...38%

Half of our remaining 12 games are on the road. Here's hoping we can take each game one at a time, keep winning at home and steal a few more on the road. I still think the regular season champ will have 3-4 losses.

Home games: VT, PITT, ND, UVA, LOU, d00k
Away games: BC, MIA, d00k, NVSU, PITT, UVA

If the Heels hold serve at home and split the 6 road games that should be enough to win the conference.

 

[Archer2]

If the Heels hold serve at home and split the 6 road games that should be enough to win the conference.

I agree.

 

[Tom79]

ND will be tough but I'm going way out on the limb now...we can win those away games, all of 'em. We are UNC dangit and we have Roy, not some assistant coaching by emojis...

 

[adwood81]

15-3 in league play would look really nice.

 

[NCAAUCoach]

How can ACC Home and Away records not directly tie wins and losses? There have been 38 games played in the ACC.....wouldn't there be 38 wins and 38 losses total like you have......but away wins should equal home losses and vice versa....right?

 

[angelo_sellers]

I saw a scoring system that valued road wins as +1 and home losses as -1. Road losses/home wins were 0. A team that goes 18-0 will have a final score of +9 and a team that goes 0-18 will have a score of -9. If a team goes 9-9, they will end up with a final score of 0. In the end, there's not difference in rankings, but it helps mid-season when teams have played varying #s of games. It stresses the importance of defending home court and stealing a few on the road.
Here are the current rankings using that formula.

ND: +3
UNC: +2
FSU: +1
UVa: +1
Louisville: 0
GT: 0
Cuse: 0
Miami: 0
Dook: 0
BC: 0
VT: -1
MooU: -1
Pitt: -1
Clemson: -1
Wake: -2

 

[Archer2]

How can ACC Home and Away records not directly tie wins and losses? There have been 38 games played in the ACC.....wouldn't there be 38 wins and 38 losses total like you have......but away wins should equal home losses and vice versa....right?

They should, must have made a mistake in the tallies. Not going to go to the trouble to recount them. Regardless, the home court advantage is very significant. Wouldn't you agree?

 

[Steat]

It's all about getting off to a good start in the road games. This is going to sound nutty, but the BC road game might be toughest froma mental standpoint.

 

[Archer2]

It's all about getting off to a good start in the road games. This is going to sound nutty, but the BC road game might be toughest froma mental standpoint.

That's nutty as a fruitcake.

BC hosts UVA tomorrow before hosting us on Saturday.

 

[gary-7]

It's all about getting off to a good start in the road games. This is going to sound nutty, but the BC road game might be toughest froma mental standpoint.

Said it yesterday, BC is a trap game. They are much improved and will be looking for a signature win (much like GaTech), and we're coming off an epic battle with F$U and the euphoria of Roy's 800th.

Fortunately we have most of the week to get ready. This will be a good test to see if the guys learned anything from the debacle in ATL, i.e., ya gotta be ready to play every night in the ACC. This could set the tone for the rest of the season --- hopefully that will be in a good way.

 

[NCAAUCoach]

They should, must have made a mistake in the tallies. Not going to go to the trouble to recount them. Regardless, the home court advantage is very significant. Wouldn't you agree?

Without a doubt.

 

[Archer2]

NVSU goes into H.I.S. and beats the dookies. A road loss is one thing but a home loss in front of the Cameron Crazies has to hurt, a lot. They have a pretty tough schedule left.

Jan 28 @Wake Forest 3:00 PM
Jan 30 @Notre Dame 7:00 PM
Feb 4 Pittsburgh 1:00 PM
Feb 9 N. Carolina 8:00 PM
Feb 11 Clemson 1:00 PM
Feb 15 @Virginia 9:00 PM
Feb 18 Wake Forest 1:00 PM
Feb 22 @Syracuse 7:00 PM
Feb 25 @Miami (Fla.) 4:00 PM
Feb 28 Florida St. 7:00 PM
Mar 4 @N. Carolina 8:00 PM

 

[Tom79]

I understand the hardware stores ran short on cargo straps to restrain the LOM and this, following a doubling of his meds, oh my!
Seriously, they had opportunities to win last night and did not.
They have very little time to figure their own team out.

 

[heelmanwilm]

NVSU goes into H.I.S. and beats the dookies. A road loss is one thing but a home loss in front of the Cameron Crazies has to hurt, a lot. They have a pretty tough schedule left.

Jan 28 @Wake Forest 3:00 PM
Jan 30 @Notre Dame 7:00 PM
Feb 4 Pittsburgh 1:00 PM
Feb 9 N. Carolina 8:00 PM
Feb 11 Clemson 1:00 PM
Feb 15 @Virginia 9:00 PM
Feb 18 Wake Forest 1:00 PM
Feb 22 @Syracuse 7:00 PM
Feb 25 @Miami (Fla.) 4:00 PM
Feb 28 Florida St. 7:00 PM
Mar 4 @N. Carolina 8:00 PM

They could easily lose 5 of those games. That would make them 21-10. Still tourney worthy but the margin of error is razor thin.