Do you agree with these UNC final record projections?

[Steat]

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North Carolina Basketball​ Predictions Update Feb 2, 2022

• After beating Louisville 90-83 yesterday, North Carolina is now projected to finish the regular season 21-10 (13-7 ACC). • The odds that the Tar Heels make the NCAA tournament are up to 70%, an increase of 8% since yesterday. • We currently rank North Carolina as the #29 team in the country, and the #2 team in the ACC. • Next game: Sat, Feb 5 vs. #11 Duke. Our power ratings give the Tar Heels a 41% chance to win.

Bracketology Projections​ Make NCAA Tournament Get Automatic NCAA Bid Projected Seed (if Selected) 70% 13% 9 • North Carolina will probably make the NCAA tournament even if they don't win the ACC tournament, but they should aim for an automatic bid to be safe. • As for an automatic bid ... North Carolina has a 13% chance to win the conference tournament. They probably won't win, but there's an outside chance. • If the Tar Heels can get to 24 total wins (including conference tournament wins), their odds to make the NCAA tournament increase to 97%. • We project the Tar Heels with a 11% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 1% chance to reach the Final Four. More North Carolina Bracketology | Bracketology For All Teams Regular Season Record Projection​ Current Record Projection For Remaining Games Projected Final Record 16-6 (8-3 ACC) 5-4 (5-4 ACC) 21-10 (13-7 ACC) • The more precise final record expectation for North Carolina is 21.3 wins and 9.7 losses, slightly better than the rounded projection above. • Based on our projections, the Tar Heels will most likely finish the regular season either 22-9 or 21-10. • North Carolina has a 1% chance to win all 9 of their remaining scheduled games. More North Carolina Projections | Projections For All ACC Teams ACC Tournament Projections​ Get ACC #1 Seed Projected Seed Win ACC Tournament 8% 3 13% • The odds for North Carolina to earn the #1 seed in the ACC tournament are up 2% since yesterday. • The chance of North Carolina winning the ACC tournament has increased by 1% since yesterday.

 

[Lewis&Miller]

7-2

Im banking on Calebs realization that his unmindful play is at a level that will place him at Carolina next season as motivation to spur him to become consistent down the stretch. That window for him to leave UNC is closing fast. Bacot, Davis, Manek, and Leaky seem to be heading toward more consistent play. Puffs minutes are on the rise and his skill set lifts this teams projection. Walton always a shooter. McCoy for foul trouble games.

 

[r_u_worthy]

I agree with L&M- 7-2 mark from here on out.

The 3 losses in the first half were road losses to what turned into as good of teams that the ACC has to offer this year. Heels are really good at home so far and showed some fight on the road with the Cards... I'm optimistic and I will probably get punished for that!!

 

[TPFKAPFS]

8-1! I think we are on a real good trajectory right now! I fully expect us to keep getting better and for our bench to give us steadily increasing contributions!

But the most important thing right now is going 1-0 this weekend!

 

[gthreadgill7929]

Think we spilt with Dook but win out to conclude the regular szn.

 

[tarheel0910]

This team is too unpredictable to be predictable. I could see 7-2 just as easily as 4-5.

 

[strummingram]

This team is too unpredictable to be predictable. I could see 7-2 just as easily as 4-5.

And, what you see is what you get with this roster. The bench isn't likely to start contributing a ton of points.

 

[39 Feet Above Sea Level]

But the most important thing right now is to go 1-0 this weekend.

Certainly it's the only thing that the team is thinking about.

 

[What Would Jesus Do?]

13-7 sounds about right. That's 5-4 the rest of the way.

Duke twice
@ Clemson
@ Virginia Tech

Rough stretch.

Winning one of the Duke games or beating either Clemson @ Clemson or Va Tech @ Va Tech aren't out of the realm of possibility, but snatching more than 1 of those seems improbable.

And, of course, we have to avoid getting cocky in games like @ NC State or home against Syracuse.

So best outcome I see is 6-3 the rest of the way, giving us a 14-6 final tally.