Judging Conferences by Quad 1 Wins

[What Would Jesus Do?]

Spoiler: The ACC Sucks.

I know, a real shocker.

Judging conferences by Quad 1 wins is a bit Catch-22-ish but I was bored, so I thought I'd take a look.

[I just ran my eyes down the NET ranking list. Feel free to correct if I muffed the count.]

Conference	Number of Teams	Quad 1 Wins	Q1 Wins per Team on Average
SEC	16	79	4.94
Big Ten	18	77	4.28
Big 12	16	55	3.44
Big East	11	23	2.10
ACC	18	23	1.28
Mountain West	11	14	1.27

 

[big_deez]

Spoiler: The ACC Sucks.

I know, a real shocker.

Judging conferences by Quad 1 wins is a bit Catch-22-ish but I was bored, so I thought I'd take a look.

[I just ran my eyes down the NET ranking list. Feel free to correct if I muffed the count.]

Conference	Number of Teams	Quad 1 Wins	Q1 Wins per Team on Average
SEC	16	79	4.94
Big Ten	18	77	4.28
Big 12	16	55	3.44
Big East	11	23	2.10
ACC	18	23	1.28
Mountain West	11	14	1.27

lmao, "real shocker". Wow, I think we all knew the ACC was bad but your summary shows how pathetic the conference really is, dammit...

 

[Bubspub88]

Saw a very depressing projection from one analyst that said if UNC won its remaining 7 games, and that would include a W over dook, the Heels still would have only 44% chance to make tourny. I know it's just one projection and there are 1,000's out there, but damn.

Also that the loss at clemson in another projection dropped UNC from 80% chance of making it to under 20%.

Personally I have felt for two weeks they were not gonna make it.

 

[What Would Jesus Do?]

Saw a very depressing projection from one analyst that said if UNC won its remaining 7 games, and that would include a W over dook, the Heels still would have only 44% chance to make tourny. I know it's just one projection and there are 1,000's out there, but damn.

Also that the loss at clemson in another projection dropped UNC from 80% chance of making it to under 20%.

Personally I have felt for two weeks they were not gonna make it.

While I agree that we are unlikely to make the NCAAT, I think we have a better chance than 20%.

Suppose we go 6-1 down the stretch. Plausible. That leaves us at 13-7 in the conference, probably tying us for 5th in the ACC.

Suppose we then go 2-1 in the ACC tourney. Again, plausible. That makes us 22-13 overall. Several teams made the tournament last year with records like that or worse. Wisconsin, for example had the identical record and got a 5 seed. Better conference, sure, but we're not looking for a 5 seed.

The Carolina name still commands eyeballs and sells tickets.

Lunardi currently only projects 3 teams from the ACC in the Big Dance - Duke, Louisville and Clemson. Fair enough. But SMU, Wake and UNC are among the "Last 4 Out."

We still have a shot - IF we take care of business. Some of the teams above us are bound to stumble. We need to do our bit and keep our fingers crossed.

Can we do our bit?