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My look at next year

CanuckChuck

Junior
Nov 15, 2006
871
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Ottawa
Just some random thoughts to throw out here since we have plenty of time and very little b-ball to talk about.

I assume Brice stays and Maye is the only commit for next year unless Roy decides to invest in another big man project.


Rotation I think we'll see early


Meeks James Johnson
Johnson Hicks JJ/JP
Jackson Tokoto
Tokoto Paige Pinson
Paige Berry Britt


I left Maye off as I'll be surprised if he get more than Simmons minutes next year but you can stick him behind Hicks with JJ/JP if you like.


I know some players have their own threads but here's my quick take/observations on each.


Meeks - 5pts/4.6 rbs over last 8 games

His illness at the end of the season looks like a big factor. I wonder if fatigue was also a problem. He certainly played a lot more minutes this year. I wonder if the conditioning just hasn't caught up? His main improvement was being able to stay on the court longer. Didn't really improve in a basketball sense - his FG% was up slightly but his rebounding %'s were down.
Be interesting to see how he would do playing around the 250lb mark.


James - avg 13 min over the last 10 games due to Meeks' issues

I expect another 10-12 min a game from James next year and for his production to be about the same. Any more from Joel should be considered a bonus.


Johnson 78% (32-41) from the line over his last 15 games

Not as much as an improvement from Brice as I'd hoped this year but his FT performance at the end of the year is nice. Problem is he doesn't get to the line much so it may not matter. Not sure what we will see from Brice next year but I don't think it'll get that much better. If he doesn't regres I'd figure him for at least 14/8.


Hicks

Still don't know what to make of Hicks. Looked good at times and just sort of disappeared at times. I think last year may have slowed his development more than I thought. Only got 15 min a game this year. Hopefully Roy can go smaller at times and get Brice and Hicks on the floor at the same time so that Isaiah can get some more minutes, assuming he earns them.


Jackson 13.6 pts, 54% fg, and 41% (14-34) from 3 over his last 10 games

Except for the 3pt shooting I don't know how he does it. That floater scares the heck outta me yet it is fairly consistent. I'm excited to see how he develops next year.


Tokoto - 1-4 on 3pt shots over his last 16 games

I think most of the thoughts have been hashed out on a dedicated thread. The one thing I would like to see is for JP to
take the wide open three. He passed up a lot of them this year. He was able hit 35% for the season. I'd tell him each game - "take the open three, if it goes in, take the next open shot, repeat until you miss". With Paige/Jackson/Berry/and maybe Britt as outside threats he doesn't need to take a lot but I'd like to see a 0-1 or 1-2 under the 3pt column each game.


Pinson - lost the most important part of the season due to injury

Hard to tell how he will pan out. If his shooting improves I think he could be Danny Green-ish. If not he's Tokoto-ish with less highlights.


Paige

Numbers were down but he was only slightly less efficient this year. If his injury did bother him most of the season then that's a pretty good year. His 1st/2nd half splits (from the eye test) seemed to be real pronounced at the end of the season. Is the foot problem something that feels better once he gets going? Was he in a 2 guard lineup later in games allowing him more opportunities to score? I think if he's healthy and gets more time at the 2g spot he'll have a fine senior year.


Berry 44% (12-27) from 3 since coming back from his injury

Too bad that he got hurt mid-season. I really liked some of his play late in the year when he took over Britt's spot as the #2pg. If continues to improve then Roy will have to make the call on having JP as the sixth man and have Paige and Berry start.


Britt Avg just 11 min per over the last 10 games

Britt is a nice backup pg especially if he continues to improve. The only way I see him getting more than 10 min a game next year is if he can hit from outside at a consistent clip. He did make 36% of his 3's this year. If he can get it around 40% he should be able to grab a few extra minutes here and there.

CC

This post was edited on 4/2 3:29 PM by CanuckChuck
 
If it all goes this way, will the team be any better? Berry would have to get all of Britt's minutes to really get starter run if nobody else loses minutes.
 
Another year's worth of experience at this level would be helpful for everybody--not only as individual players but as a team playing together.

Also to consider: most of this year's contenders will be worse off next year from losing key players. If we're just as good or a little better while everyone else takes a step back, that bodes well for us.
 
Originally posted by RP12:
If it all goes this way, will the team be any better? Berry would have to get all of Britt's minutes to really get starter run if nobody else loses minutes.
Figuring minutes is tough. If all goes as I expect I think Pinson's and Britt's minutes come down to who is playing better.

Here's my rough estimation:

Meeks 25 James 8 Johnson 7
Johnson 18 Hicks 20 JP 2
Jackson 29 Tokoto11
Tokoto 10 Paige 15 Pinson 15
Paige 15 Berry 20 Britt 5

Overall that means

Meeks +2
James -2
Johnson --
Hicks +5
Tokoto -6
Jackson +2
Pinson +2
Berry +7
Britt -10
Paige -3

CC
 
That rotation is way too much. We have 4 NBA players that need to play 28-30 min a night. It's that simple.

Save Britt and Hicks for when someone gets in foul trouble, that's it.

8 man rotation...Paige, Justin, Berry, Meeks, Brice, JP, JJ, Pinson. Enough said.
 
when the schedule is released and I see a team with no 5 star recruits or 4's like Butler or Belmont if there's an early loss to such a team..business as usual-toughness, resolve blah, blah...no need to expect great things until I see improvement or no changes over the summer
 
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