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North Carolina Basketball Predictions Update 11/30 (VEGAS ODDS)

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North Carolina Basketball​

Predictions Update
Nov 25, 2023
After beating Arkansas 87-72 yesterday, North Carolina is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (14-6 ACC).
The odds that the Tar Heels make the NCAA tournament are up to 95%, an increase of 8% since yesterday.
We currently rank North Carolina as the #16 team in the country, and the #2 team in the ACC.
Next game: Wed, Nov 29 vs. #9 Tennessee. Our power ratings give the Tar Heels a 53% chance to win.

Bracketology Projections​

Make NCAA TournamentGet Automatic NCAA BidProjected Seed
(if Selected)
95%18%6
North Carolina will almost certainly make the NCAA tournament, even if they don't win the ACC tournament.
We project the Tar Heels with a 34% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 7% chance to reach the Final Four.
North Carolina has a 1% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That may not sound like much, but few teams even have this good of a chance.
More North Carolina Bracketology | Bracketology For All Teams

Regular Season Record Projection​

Current RecordProjection For Remaining GamesProjected
Final Record
5-1
(0-0 ACC)
17-8
(14-6 ACC)
22-9
(14-6 ACC)
The more precise final record expectation for North Carolina is 21.7 wins and 9.3 losses, slightly worse than the rounded projection above.
Based on our projections, the Tar Heels will most likely finish the regular season with a record between 24-7 and 20-11.
More North Carolina Projections | Projections For All ACC Teams

ACC Tournament Projections​

Get ACC #1 SeedProjected SeedWin ACC Tournament
16%218%
The odds for North Carolina to earn the #1 seed in the ACC tournament are up 6% since yesterday.
The chance of North Carolina winning the ACC tournament has increased by 5% since yesterday.
 
I like the way we are trending! Thanks for the info, but I think things are even more optimistic. I expect no more than 5-6 losses and a 4 seed for the Dance!
 
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North Carolina Basketball​

Predictions Update
Nov 30, 2023
After beating Tennessee 100-92 yesterday, North Carolina is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (14-6 ACC).
The odds that the Tar Heels make the NCAA tournament are up to 98%, an increase of 2% since yesterday.
We currently rank North Carolina as the #17 team in the country, and the #2 team in the ACC.
Next game: Sat, Dec 2 vs. #69 Florida St. Our power ratings give the Tar Heels a 83% chance to win.

Bracketology Projections​

Make NCAA TournamentGet Automatic NCAA BidProjected Seed
(if Selected)
98%22%5
North Carolina will almost certainly make the NCAA tournament, even if they don't win the ACC tournament.
We project the Tar Heels with a 38% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 8% chance to reach the Final Four.
North Carolina has a 2% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That may not sound like much, but few teams even have this good of a chance.
More North Carolina Bracketology | Bracketology For All Teams

Regular Season Record Projection​

Current RecordProjection For Remaining GamesProjected
Final Record
6-1
(0-0 ACC)
16-8
(14-6 ACC)
22-9
(14-6 ACC)
The more precise final record expectation for North Carolina is 22.4 wins and 8.6 losses, slightly better than the rounded projection above.
Based on our projections, the Tar Heels will most likely finish the regular season with a record between 24-7 and 21-10.
More North Carolina Projections | Projections For All ACC Teams

ACC Tournament Projections​

Get ACC #1 SeedProjected SeedWin ACC Tournament
20%122%
The odds for North Carolina to earn the #1 seed in the ACC tournament are up 2% since yesterday.
The chance of North Carolina winning the ACC tournament has increased by 1% since yesterday.
Full ACC Tournament Projections
 
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