The last day for Division I men’s basketball players to enter the transfer portal in 2025 is Tuesday, April 22. The poster that is the closest to the actual number portal entries for 2025 is the winner. If there is a tie, I will do a tiebreaker. See summary table in red below.
Make a prediction. Your entry must be in by midnight Monday, April 21
Here’s a detailed breakdown of Division I men’s basketball transfer portal activity for 2023, 2024, and 2025, along with outcomes for those who transferred, and a projection for 2025:
Transfer Portal Entries by Year
| Year | Players Entered Portal | % of D-I Players (approx.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1,120 | ~20% | |
| 2024 | 1,700 | ~30% | |
| 2025 | ???? |
- 2025 Projection: Based on current trends and the portal's open days, the final number is projected between 2,190 and 2,360 entries by the time the window closes.
What Happens After Entering the Portal?
2023 Outcomes
- Transferred to Another D-I School: 551 players (49% of entrants)
- Withdrew from Portal: 110 players (10%)
- Did Not Transfer/Unknown Outcome: ~40% (remained uncommitted, went to lower divisions, left basketball, or graduated)
- Graduated or Re-entered Portal: No precise public data, but NCAA research and reporting suggest a significant portion of uncommitted players either graduate, drop to lower divisions, or re-enter the portal in subsequent years.
2024 Outcomes
- Transferred to Another D-I School: Data not finalized, but trends suggest a similar or slightly lower percentage (~45–50%) as 2023.
- Withdrew from Portal: Estimated around 10%.
- Did Not Transfer/Unknown Outcome: ~40–45% (remained uncommitted, went to lower divisions, left basketball, or graduated).
- Graduated or Re-entered Portal: Many uncommitted players either graduate or re-enter the portal the following year, but exact numbers are not published.
Key Takeaways & Trends
- Portal Growth: The number of D-I men’s basketball players entering the portal has increased sharply, from 1,120 in 2023 to over 1,700 in 2024, and is projected to surpass 2,000 in 2025.
- Transfer Success Rate: Roughly half of portal entrants successfully transfer to another D-I program each year. The rest either withdraw, move to lower divisions, leave basketball, or graduate.
- Repeat Transfers: A notable portion of players who do not find a new home or are dissatisfied with their new situation re-enter the portal in subsequent years, though exact repeat rates are not formally tracked.
- Graduation: Some uncommitted players use the portal as a step toward graduation or as a means to explore graduate transfer options.
Summary Table
| Year | Entered Portal | Transferred to D-I | Withdrew | Uncommitted/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1,120 | 551 (49%) | 110 (10%) | ~460 (41%) |
| 2024 | 1,700 | ~765–850 (45–50%) | ~170 (10%) | ~680–765 (40–45%) |
| 2025 | ??? | TBD | TBD | TBD |
Make a prediction!
