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Stat Review: @Duke (3/5)

JimmyNaismith

All-American
Nov 7, 2021
2,274
2,570
113
STATVALUEPCTLEHISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%4958
UNC_statBox_55.png
3FG%3961
UNC_statBox_60.png
2FG%5359
UNC_statBox_55.png
FT%8692
UNC_statBox_90.png
fg%4913
UNC_statBox_10.png
3fg%3739
UNC_statBox_35.png
2fg%5418
UNC_statBox_15.png
ft%7532
UNC_statBox_30.png
PTS/POSS1.1291
UNC_statBox_90.png
pts/poss0.9818
UNC_statBox_15.png
TOTPOSS16745
UNC_statBox_40.png
POSDIF144
UNC_statBox_40.png
%LOB698
UNC_statBox_95.png
%lob1113
UNC_statBox_10.png
SmithIdx0.043161
UNC_statBox_60.png
Interesting Stats
AST/TO3.0099
UNC_statBox_95.png
ast/to1.6716
UNC_statBox_15.png
%RMS0.2315
UNC_statBox_10.png

STAT = Statistic being reportd
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)
Discussion
What a win. Some are putting it in their TOP 5 games against Duke, even! The story of the week was Coach K, but the UNC Offense stole the narrative, scoring a whopping 1.12 points per possession. The Heels shot the ball well, but took care of the ball in an historic way. With a 3.0 assists/turnover ratio, it ranks as the 23rd best handling of the ball in the last 949 games for UNC. The Heels turned it over on only 6% of their possessions, the 7th best performance since 1996.

This UNC team is absolutely outstanding at FT shooting. In this game, the Heels drilled 86% of their 22 FTAs. Only 57 times have they done a better job. Shooting 77% from the line, this version of the Heels is the best free throw shooting team UNC has had since 1996.

This game was completely devoid of defense. UNC's defense was in the programs' 18th percentile, while Duke's performance was in the 9th percentile of UNC opponents. Not too sure either team will get too far in the NCAA tournament playing defense this bad.

The greatest games against Duke? A few come to mind. the '77 Walter Davis game, the '89 ACC Championship, the '91 ACC Championship, '92 Home (Bloody Montross), '09 Home (Henderthug), '05 Home (Marvin Williams), '99 Away, '90 Home (Hurley cried), and '94 Away (Wallace went off). I didn't love that '95 game (Stackhouse dunk, Capel halfcourt shot) because Duke was _terrible_ that year and it should never have even been a game. This one is way way up there, though. It was a special week for Duke, and we played the spoiler again (Oh, did you forget the Frank Beamer game?)
 
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