| STAT | VALUE | PCTLE | HISTORICAL COMPARISON |
| Base Stats | |||
| FG% | 41 | 23 |
|
| 3FG% | 38 | 59 | 
|
| 2FG% | 43 | 19 | 
|
| FT% | 79 | 78 | 
|
| fg% | 44 | 39 | 
|
| 3fg% | 45 | 15 |
|
| 2fg% | 43 | 64 | 
|
| ft% | 45 | 94 | 
|
| PTS/POSS | 0.87 | 32 | 
|
| pts/poss | 0.83 | 56 |
|
| TOTPOSS | 168 | 48 | 
|
| POSDIF | 4 | 61 |
|
| %LOB | 20 | 19 |
|
| %lob | 17 | 57 |
|
| SmithIdx | -0.0572 | 41 | 
|
| Interesting Stats | |||
| ast/poss | 0.12 | 76 |
|
| AST/FG | 0.46 | 17 |
|
| OR% | 0.47 | 90 | 
|
| or% | 0.31 | 20 |
|
| %FROM3 | 36.2 | 79 |
|
STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.
FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)
MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
OR% = UNC Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.344)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
or% = Opponent Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.241)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.
FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)
MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
OR% = UNC Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.344)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
or% = Opponent Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.241)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)
UNC traveled to Tallahassee to face a revenge-minded FSU team and game away with its guttiest win of the season.
It was a bad day for offense, as UNC mustered only 0.87 pts/poss while FSU got only 0.83. UNC shot from 3 well, not so great from inside (43%), but turned the ball over in a horrible way. UNC turned it over on 32% of its first-half possessions, but played a much cleaner second half to bring that total to 20%. UNC has had 186 sloppier games in the last 1010, but to give you an idea about how bad 32% is: UNC has only had one slopper entire game than 32% LOB. It was the 2022 29-point home loss to Duke. That is how poorly the team played offense in the first half.
Historically there were few standout stats. FSU's 45% free-throw shooting was the 61st-worst FT shooting display by an opponent in the last 1011 games.
We saw some really excellent play from Elliot Cadeau overall. He is looking for dribble penetration far more, and beating defenders with his dribble. While we want to take what teams will give us, it still isn't sustainable to be getting an assist on only 46% of our possessions. Defensively he is doing pretty well in the halfcourt set, but gets in trouble when there is chaos (loose balls, midcourt turnovers, etc). While I believe RJ Davis should be in the very short list of National Player of the Year candidates, Cadeau is the player that is the most important difference between this team being a classic bubble team and being a Final Four contender. He's made some great progress this month, and that should be duly noted by everyone!
On the season, this team is scoring 0.99 points per possession, more than a standard deviation higher than the program average. Defensively they are holding teams at 0.845, right at the 0.844 program average. This is an excellent mark, and is the best defensive number since the 2014 era. We should temper that enthusiasm, however, as 7 of the last 9 opponents have been so poor.
This team is now forcing turnovers on 14.1% of their opponents' possessions; 1 standard deviation below program average. The defensive profile is very similar to the 2000 team.
Overall, however, this team's provile is most closely-aligned with the 1989 team. More on that later.
Next up is a Tuesday matchup at GT, a team that is better than their record. Atlanta has been a house of horrors in basketball and football so many times, nothing is a given. Trap game? Definitely. Gotta stay focused on beating the Jackets.
