STAT REVIEW: Kentucky (12/16/23)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	47	53
3FG%	33	43
2FG%	58	76
FT%	78	74
fg%	42	50
3fg%	35	46
2fg%	45	55
ft%	73	37
PTS/POSS	0.97	59
pts/poss	0.88	41
TOTPOSS	185	85
POSDIF	(13)	1
%LOB	20	20
%lob	14	34
SmithIdx	-0.0137	50
Interesting Stats
ast/poss	0.15	55
AST/POSS	0.14	15
OR%	0.20	8
or%	0.43	2
%FROM3	42.1	92

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
OR% = UNC Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.344)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
or% = Opponent Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.241)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
The Heels faced off against another ranked foe in Kentucky today in what turned out to be a barn burner. UNC only led for a moment, but hung in, erasing two double-digit deficits, but ended up losing by a couple of possessions.

On offense the Heels scored an excellent 0.97 pts/poss, and held Kentucky to 0.88. That is the best performance against a Power 5 opponent, even if it is just short of the team's goal.

The real problem in this game was rebounding. Kentucky enjoyed 13 more possessions than UNC. The Heels have only been out-rebounded this badly 16 times in their last 1001 games. UNC's Offensive Rebound Percentage was a paltry 20%. Even worse was that it allowed Kentucky to rebound 43% of their misses. Next up is Oklahoma, where we will learn even more about this team.

 

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