Stat Review: NCSU (3/2/24)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	47	52
3FG%	38	57
2FG%	51	51
FT%	85	90
fg%	42	50
3fg%	47	11
2fg%	39	78
ft%	69	49
PTS/POSS	1.08	86
pts/poss	0.91	33
TOTPOSS	150	12
POSDIF	(4)	19
%LOB	11	84
%lob	12	19
SmithIdx	0.0731	67
Interesting Stats
ast/poss	0.12	78
AST/TO	1.63	62
OR%	0.18	5
or%	0.26	42
%FROM3	30.2	55

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
OR% = UNC Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.344)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
or% = Opponent Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.241)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
The Wolfpack came to the Dean Dome and put on a show in the 2nd quarter of the game. After halftime it was the Heels' game, as they emerged a 9-point winner.

UNC scored an excellent 1.08 points per possession on 47% FG shooting, 38% 3-point shooting, and outstanding FT shooting on many attempts.

Defensively it was not a good day. At halftime NCSU had scored 1.32 points per possession, but was just awful in the 3rd quarter of the game, going on a 12-shot drought at one point. They ended up scoring 0.91 points per possession, so for the second half they must have been somewhere in the 0.50 pts per possession range.
It wans't a historic game in any facet, but UNC was unusually good at the FT line, NCSU was unusually good from 3, and the game was exceptionally slow, with only 150 possessions.

Next up on Tuesday the Heels welcome a hot Notre Dame team that just put Clemson and UVA on the bubble this week.

 

[kjcooper]

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