Stat Review: @Notre Dame (2/23/23)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	33	3
3FG%	9	1
2FG%	46	27
FT%	83	87
fg%	40	61
3fg%	30	62
2fg%	46	51
ft%	67	54
PTS/POSS	0.73	7
pts/poss	0.82	58
TOTPOSS	158	25
POSDIF	14	96
%LOB	10	87
%lob	13	23
SmithIdx	-0.1869	19
Interesting Stats
AST/FG	0.35	3
ast/to	1.11	49
%from3	40	35
%FROM3	33.3	69

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
UNC entered a must-win situation and stunk it up for the first 20 minutes, scoring only 19 points before halftime. After a blistering halftime speech, the Heels came out and got a good basket from Bacot, then generated a steal with halfcourt defensive pressure from RJ Davis. The rest of the game wasn't great, but it was clearly a step above. This is why I keep saying that the defense is the problem with this team. If they will change the defensive approach, it will feed the offense and correct its woes.

What woes? UNC was 9% from 3-point land. Believe it or not, there have been 9 occasions since 1996 where the shot worse. Overall the team shot 33%, a performance only worse in 33 games of the last 986. From 2 UNC was a poor 46%. UNC scored 0.73 pts/possession and allowed 0.82 pts/possession. Assists per made field goal was also a terrible stat. With 0.35 A/FG, it was worthy of the 3rd percentile.

How did they win? Rebounding. UNC earned a stellar 14 possession advantage over ND. That's only happened 30 times in the last 986. They also took care of the ball, turning it over only on 10% of their possessions.

This was a 158 possession game, only in teh 25th percentile in Pace of Play. Certainly the pace picked up at halftime, and we saw improved play and flow. Davis needs to push tempo every time we touch the ball.

Next up is UVA, who after trying to lose 2 games to crappy teams last week, finally did it against BC last night. Just what we needed; a team that has woken up. SMH.

 

[RobJones__]

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[gdean44]

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