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STAT REVIEW: Oklahoma (12/20/23)

JimmyNaismith

All-American
Nov 7, 2021
2,274
2,570
113
STATVALUEPCTLEHISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%43 32
UNC_statBox_30.png

3FG%41 67
UNC_statBox_65.png

2FG%45 23
UNC_statBox_20.png

FT%77 72
UNC_statBox_70.png

fg%40 58
UNC_statBox_55.png

3fg%30 62
UNC_statBox_60.png

2fg%47 45
UNC_statBox_45.png

ft%67 54
UNC_statBox_50.png

PTS/POSS1.00 69
UNC_statBox_65.png

pts/poss0.80 63
UNC_statBox_60.png

TOTPOSS167 46
UNC_statBox_45.png

POSDIF(5)15
UNC_statBox_15.png

%LOB11 84
UNC_statBox_80.png

%lob21 82
UNC_statBox_80.png

SmithIdx0.097772
UNC_statBox_70.png

Interesting Stats
ast/poss0.07 96
UNC_statBox_95.png

AST/POSS0.11 7
UNC_statBox_5.png

OR%0.21 9
UNC_statBox_5.png

or%0.32 19
UNC_statBox_15.png

%FROM336.780
UNC_statBox_80.png


STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
OR% = UNC Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.344)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
or% = Opponent Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.241)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)
Discussion
The Heels entered a "neutral site" (Charlotte) to face #7 Oklahoma for the first time since the Regional Finals in 2009 where the Heels ended the college career of Blake Griffin.

UNC had, perhaps, its most solid game this season, playing mostly 7 players, and building chemistry among those 7. Withers only tallied 4 minutes in this game, Washington was only used 5 minutes, while High was used 12 minutes, interestingly.

The Heels scored 1.00 pts per possession while keeping Oklahoma at 0.80. It's the 286th most sound beating of a team in the last 1001 games. UNC forced Oklahoma to turn it over on 21% of its possessions, a feat only seen 180 times in the last 1001 games.

Despite those gaps, Oklahoma still had a chance in the final 5 minutes. That's because UNC was, again, atrocious on rebounding. Oklahoma had 5 more possessions than UNC, something we've seen 167 times in the last 1001 games.

UNC shot 41% from the field after a cold start, which really helped. Offensively, though, we only saw 0.11 assists/possession. We've only seen worse 62 times in the last 1001 games. If this team can get to the point where Cadeau is the floor leader and distributor, and the ball touches a big man on every possession, we will see far more consistency and be more immune to cold shooting.

The game had 167 possessions, so the Heels could pick tempo up a bit, actually. Since 1996 we have averaged 169.0 possessions per game, and this team is averaging 167.2. We have not had a team average more than 169 possessions since the 2019 Coby white team that reached the Sweet 16. Since the 2012 Kendall Marshall team, we've only had 2 teams average faster than 169.0; 2017 and 2019. Those teams were led by some top level point guards.

There is only one more game left in 2023, then we get into the meat of the ACC season with Pitt. Funny that after 11 games we still have a lot of question marks. After what we've seen, that means that this team has a lot of potential. The key is Cadeau's development.
 
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