Stat Review: Pitt (2/1/23)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	35	5
3FG%	19	8
2FG%	46	28
FT%	59	17
fg%	45	29
3fg%	37	39
2fg%	50	33
ft%	73	38
PTS/POSS	0.77	11
pts/poss	0.92	31
TOTPOSS	154	18
POSDIF	12	92
%LOB	11	86
%lob	14	33
SmithIdx	-0.2444	12
Interesting Stats
AST/FG	0.26	0
AST/TO	0.67	16
%RMS	0.44	82
%FROM3	40.9	91

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
Despite this being a 1-point game, the Heels had a bad overall showing against Pitt. With a Smith Index of -0.2444, it was the 127th-worse overall showing by a UNC team in the last 980 outings.

The Heels were "boo awful" on offense, managing just 0.77 points per possession. In the last 980 games, this team has performed more poorly in only 110 of them. Particularly problematic was the 35% FG shooting, UNC has only been worse in 48 of those 980 games, mostly due to 19% 3-point shooting.

The assist thing reared its head once again with this team as well. The Heels mustered only 0.26 assists per FG, and have only been worse on 11 occasions in those 980 games.

Defensively UNC was bad as well, allowing 0.92 points per possession and 50% shooting by Pitt inside the arc.

The saving grace from this game was rebounding, where UNC held an impressive 12-possession advantage. Only 64 times in the last 980 have they ruled the boards more.

This was a bad loss. I don't see Pitt making much noise in March, and frankly, this UNC team isn't showing the traits of a team that will either.

 

[Ned Cota]

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[JimmyNaismith]

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