Stat Review: UNC-W (11/7/22)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	46	44
3FG%	20	10
2FG%	53	56
FT%	77	71
fg%	29	96
3fg%	25	79
2fg%	31	95
ft%	75	32
PTS/POSS	0.99	65
pts/poss	0.72	82
TOTPOSS	148	9
POSDIF	-8	8
%LOB	13	74
%lob	14	33
SmithIdx	0.1678	82
Interesting Stats
AST/TO	0.44	9
ast/to	0.27	92
%FROM3	20.8	20
%from3	28	80
%RMS	0.27	22

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
Shaky start for the 2023 Heels, but Davis was able to insert a large rotation of players into the game. As to be expected in early season games, the Assists:Turnover ratio for both teams was extremely low. More interestingly, it was the 2nd lowest Assists/Possession tally and the lowest Assists/FG tally for UNC since the advent of the 3 point line (959 games). Don't worry, though. UNCW was awful, too, with the 3rd worst performance by an opponent that we've seen. UNC-W shot a miserable 29%, too, a feat only 34 opponents in the last 959 have been able to doubiously achieve.

UNC's offensive and defensive performance were better than expected, but the rebounding was the clear weakness of the game for the Tar Heels. UNC-W got 8 more possessions than the Heels, making it the 77th worst rebounding display we've had since the 3pt line.

Let's just enjoy that the roundball is bouncing, shake some rust off, and get this team tuned up for a tough December schedule.