Stat Review: @UVA (2/24/24)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	32	2
3FG%	32	38
2FG%	32	2
FT%	79	77
fg%	28	98
3fg%	14	96
2fg%	32	94
ft%	67	55
PTS/POSS	0.78	13
pts/poss	0.62	95
TOTPOSS	140	4
POSDIF	(2)	28
%LOB	14	60
%lob	8	6
SmithIdx	0.0629	66
Interesting Stats
ast/poss	0.07	95
AST/TO	1.10	34
OR%	0.26	21
or%	0.26	41
%FROM3	44.0	95

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
OR% = UNC Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.344)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
or% = Opponent Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.241)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
There are games that are barn burners, and then there are games like the UNC@UVA game. What's a good term? Barn ethers? Barn freezers? Torture?

UVA is famous for its slow tempo, and this game didn't disappoint, with 140 possessions. Since 1996 UNC has played in only 35 slower-paced games. It wasn't the pace that was so torturous, though. It was the shooting.

UNC shot 32% from the field overall, something it has only done in 19 of the last 1018 games. It also shot 32% from 2 and from 3. Only 10 times have we seen the team shoot worse from inside the arc. Clearly Cormac Ryan was the player of the game, because outside of him the team was 1-11 from 3.

UVA was inexcplicably worse, shooting 28% overall and 14% from 3. UNC has only seen 17 opponents in the last 1018 shoot worse. The last time we saw worse, by the way, was at NCSU this season.

In a snail's pace game, UNC scored a miserable 0.78 points per possession. UVA managed only 0.62 points per possession. Just shoot me.

 

[sdingeldein]

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