Stat Review (@WFU 1/22/22)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	33	3
3FG%	21	12
2FG%	40	10
FT%	70	49
fg%	54	3
3fg%	38	34
2fg%	67	1
ft%	75	32
PTS/POSS	0.75	8
pts/poss	1.18	1
POSS	102	97
POSDIF	19	99
%LOB	11	86
%lob	10	9
Interesting Stats
MOV	-22	3
AST/POSS	0.09	2
ast/fg	0.34	90
TOTPOSS	185	84
SmithIdx	-0.54	0

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reportd
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.
FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method)
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss)

MOV = Margin of Victory
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of Shots Taken From 3
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss

Discussion
This was the new 2nd worst UNC performance since 1996, and supplants the previous game on that dubious list. It was the 8th-worst defensive performance in that period as well. For some reason we have guards who think they don't have to play defense, and we have big men who have no idea to help with the guards are beaten. This isn't all on the players, either. While we finally saw one possession of 2-3 zone, it was a version a little league team could easily score against. After one possession, the coach abandoned it and effectively did nothing to knock Wake Forest off its rhythm.

The only thing saving this from being a 40+ point loss was a staggering 19 possession advantage for the Heels. It was the 4th best rebounding advantage UNC has had since 1996.

From the field, UNC was a rotten 33%, the program's 22nd worst showing in the period. This likely came from extremely poor ball movement. UNC's assists/possession tally was 0.09, the 12th worst in the period. On a good note, UNC only turned the ball over on 11% of its possessions.

This was a fast-paced game, with 185 Total Possessions (84th percentile). That's noteworthy as a friend just informed me that the ACC ranks 30th out of 32 conferences in Pace of Play. UNC and Wake Forest are the only two ACC teams that rank in the Top 100 nationally in pace.

The Heels have 4 games against bad opponents, with the first 3 at home. This team fares well in these conditions, but nothing it does in this period will directly affect its reputation in the NCAA comittee's eyes. UNC has only 3 more occasions in the regular season to impress, and 2 of those are against Duke. The season is on the verge of slipping away, and if the players and coaches continue doing what they've always done, they will be in the NIT.[/b]

 

[pooponduke]

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