Stats and stuff - Arky game

[gary-7]

As I said in the preview, this was a game with a tempo that played right into our wheel house...
...and the statistical differences were even more pronounced than usual. The big line-up was (predictably) a bust, producing a total of 18 points in just under 14 minutes. Fortunately we spent just over 26 minutes in multi-Guard sets (should've been more).

One-Guard lineups - 1.3 PPM
Multi-Guard lineups - 2.6 PPM

As for the multi-Guard lineups:
Berry/Paige - 3.2 PPM
Berry/Paige/Britt - 3.1 PPM
Britt/Paige - 2.3 PPM

*We were more aggressive on D (at least in multi-Guard lineups), even in our Zones.

*Brice had trouble finishing but was a hoss on the glass.

*The foul trouble on the Bigs was probably a blessing as it forced Roy to go small.

*Speaking of the small lineup, JP was a pretty danged good 4-man.

*With the pace of play we were gonna need another Guard to contribute and Nate showed up nicely. The helter-skelter pace fits his skill set.

*However, and this is important to understand, Marcus Paige was THE story down the stretch. I realize some of y'all won't get this, but honestly, Roy got caught coaching by the seat of his pants in the final 5 minutes in that he left Nate running Point too long and that is a risk in half-court offense. You may have noticed that Marcus bailed us out down the stretch in half-court situations by coming to the Point and taking the rock and then making something happen (alpha dog!). Roy said it honestly in the post-game interview that we were fortunate Marcus made some tough shots and created offense by being aggressive, and BTW, boosted the numbers of that combo.

*On that note this is a classic example that no matter Joel Berry's personal stat line, we are better as a team when he is in the game. His entry in the first half running Point, first with Paige and then Britt at the 2, triggered the surge that pulled us out of an early hole and then asserting a lead in the game, and again in the second half his entry, first with Paige and then piloting the 3-Guard lineup, saw us surge to a working lead. As I called for in the preview, JB attacked the bully, and as the great John Wooden said, I don't mind a few turnovers from attacking the defense. There is a reason we scored at a pace of better than 120 PPG with him at Point, and again, I'm sure there are some who won't get this, he should have been in the game for all of the last 5 minutes. Fortunately, Marcus stepped up when the offense was bogging down.

 

[UNC71-00]

Gary- other than scoring more points than the other team- what offensive statistics do you think Roy uses as the penultimate measure of offensive efficiency? And what did DES use?

 

[HeelFan58]

We had 16 turnovers but they had 21 normally that's too many but considering the pace and the fact they had more it is acceptable.

 

[gary-7]

Originally posted by UNC71-00:
Gary- other than scoring more points than the other team- what offensive statistics do you think Roy uses as the penultimate measure of offensive efficiency? And what did DES use?

Back in the pre-shot clock era Dean was most concerned about PPP (points per possession). He preached efficiency and good shot selection.
But he also preferred to score quickly... even then.
His priority tree was:
1. Score off the fast break
2. Score off the secondary break
3. Score in half-court offense.

When the shot clock and 3-pointer came in he said "that just means we'll beat people by more". Dean's teams rarely noticed a shot clock. And of course Roy prefers to play fast.

In a system like ours PPM is probably a better modern measure because it speaks to our preferred tempo as well as efficiency. It is especially valuable in comparing lineups since everyone on the team is suppsed to be trying to accomplish the same things.

 

[Ford_corners]

I was wondering about the alternative to PPP in modern game. Good suggestion. With all the "noise" about the Heels being weaker defensively with 2 true guards on the floor, what would the Points against per minute look like with the alternate line ups or even just Point differential with the different line ups. I know Dean's teams used to put pressure on opponents by scoring efficiently. You had to score to keep up. I suspect the differential is favorable with the 2 guard line-ups too.

 

[trueblue50]

Good analysis.
In your opinion- how do we match up against Wiscon? Factoring Meeks as not playing at this point, or playing at 75%.
Will multi-guards help or hurt?