UVA opens as 4.5 favs
- Thread starter Herdthatone
- Start date
yes - that is surprisingly high to me. I could see 0.5 to even 2.5, but 4.5 just given the recent performance of the teams, the talent levels, and pace of UVA offense makes 4.5 seem pretty generous.
Has UVA lost at home this year?
When was the last time Carolina won at UVA?
Would be great to send a message to the rest of the ACC that we're in first place, and we're going to stay there!
Go Tar Heels!
When was the last time Carolina won at UVA?
Would be great to send a message to the rest of the ACC that we're in first place, and we're going to stay there!
Go Tar Heels!
UVA has not lost at home this year. As I pointed out in another thread, UNC also has only one road win against a team with a winning conference record this year (Syracuse who is 8-7 in the ACC).
2/25/12: #7 UNC won @ #25 UVA behind 20 points from Zeller - that's the last win for UNC @ UVA.
Hoping they can do it again, on their way to a conference championship! Go Heels!
Except for the last quarter or so of the Duke game, we've played very good ball over the last 4 games.
UVa can't beat us if we play that well.
I REALLY want to believe we've hit our stride and the Duke fade is the last we'll see of that weakness.
Justin looks fully back.
Brice is the MAN.
Berry and Isaiah are solid. Nate is giving all he's got.
Marcus, Kennedy and Theo still need to show up consistently but you can count on Marcus to contribute even if he isn't scoring and Theo seems to have improved a good bit in just the last few games, so maybe he's getting it. I just wish Kennedy would show more fire.
UVa can't beat us if we play that well.
I REALLY want to believe we've hit our stride and the Duke fade is the last we'll see of that weakness.
Justin looks fully back.
Brice is the MAN.
Berry and Isaiah are solid. Nate is giving all he's got.
Marcus, Kennedy and Theo still need to show up consistently but you can count on Marcus to contribute even if he isn't scoring and Theo seems to have improved a good bit in just the last few games, so maybe he's getting it. I just wish Kennedy would show more fire.
It's 7.5 ... get it right.
Go back and look at my spreads this year vs Vegas - I'll give you one guess who's been closer to the final outcome. And I will be tomorrow too.
Bleed's goal is to get an even amount of picks on each side (like any good book). And judging by the optimism I've seen out of some of this board, UNC -7.5 might still have not been enough to induce half UVA picks!
Some stats for you to chew on:
Roy's UNC teams have been a Vegas closing line underdog 76 times. Their record is 35-40-1 in those games. BUT, of the 35 times they've covered, they've won outright 29 times. (and to be honest, almost half of the 40 they didn't cover came in the 2009-2010 season when they were a dog nearly every game after Christmas)
So as an underdog they either get spanked or play great. Hope that helps you out tomorrow, haha
Roy's UNC teams have been a Vegas closing line underdog 76 times. Their record is 35-40-1 in those games. BUT, of the 35 times they've covered, they've won outright 29 times. (and to be honest, almost half of the 40 they didn't cover came in the 2009-2010 season when they were a dog nearly every game after Christmas)
So as an underdog they either get spanked or play great. Hope that helps you out tomorrow, haha
I think this line is right where it should be--we will be challenged to score and that crowd will be crazy..they don't turn it over and guard smart..I think we can win but have to play at our full potential, possessions are gold.
Your over under has given me nightmares all year with the half a point!It's 7.5 ... get it right.
You're kidding, right. If Bleed was sitting the line based on the tenor of this board, he's have to reverse his line to get half the picks on UNC. TBS, he does a great job setting his lines.
If we can get 70+ today, I like our chances. But a score in the 60's doesn't bode well for the Heels.
I'm sure Bleed can give us the specifics, but I know his lines are always more in UNCs favor than the Vegas spreads, and he's said in the past his aim is doing so is to get an even amount of UNC picks and opponents picks.
Yeah I have to consider the fact that most of the folks on here are gigantic UNC homers, so I typically set the line a few points higher (in UNC's favor) than I would for the general public.
That being said, I really thought more contestants would lean toward UNC in this game today PLUS I wanted to make it such that there was a "safe play" for those who are just treading water and then a "risky play" for those who are 10-20 points back and need to take a gamble to catch up - which is pretty much what has happened with the picks.
I will say that the O/U picks are fairly well split, which is good.
That being said, I really thought more contestants would lean toward UNC in this game today PLUS I wanted to make it such that there was a "safe play" for those who are just treading water and then a "risky play" for those who are 10-20 points back and need to take a gamble to catch up - which is pretty much what has happened with the picks.
I will say that the O/U picks are fairly well split, which is good.
Or maybe I'm just messing with you ?!?! But yes, you're free to switch as long as I receive your email by tip-off.
