Can Heels win Coastal Division?
- Thread starter mjrocks23
- Start date
We just beat one of the favorites so hell yeah.
We still got a long way to go but I'm enjoying the ride.
We still got a long way to go but I'm enjoying the ride.
And, that...
WF has a very hot QB, too. And, we're playing in Winston-Salem. Bring the A game.
Mack knows the importance of focusing on the in-state rivals. He will not let the p[layers rest on beating Miami and an SEC team.
But a loss to Wake would not hurt us in ACC standings this year - the game is actually OOC this year.
The odds are we will get hit with a few more injuries and drop a few 50/50 games after winning two that we easily could have lost. On the other hand we've already beaten what are probably the 3rd and 4th best teams on the schedule, and outside of Clemson you can make a good case that we are more talented than every other team left. I wouldn't call us the coastal favorite but a 9 or 10 win season isn't totally out of the question. Friday night will tell us a lot imo. If we show up with a strong performance and take care of business I will really start to believe this could be a special season.
I appreciate that SI is heaping praise on the Heels. But that dude is acting like we have two gimmes coming up before Clemson? We all know we could easily lose both those games.
We could lose both. Or we could win both. Just like the first 2 games. What looks great is far is that this team exudes confidence - these guys feel deep down that they can win and should win. And that makes a big difference.
Of course, we can win the Coastal. But we are really thin and after getting thru SC in good shape, the injury bug came back at Miami with Rene and Polino. This team would not be able to compete if we lost Strowbridge and Crawford. The guys behind them are just no where near ready yet.
But both sides of the ball are going to get better. If we can get thru the Clemson game without significant injuries, this offense will be ready to roll. Even though a small sample size, Howells decision making has been great. Many of his throws are pro level thru tiny windows. That very young offensive line will mature and jell. I think there are some studs there with McKethran, Montilus, and Tucker. That OL group can get the job done.
Bateman will keep us in games but this offense will be hard to deal with after Clemson game. Don't think we have a shot at beating Clemson but more importantly will be how we play on both sides of the ball against them.
Mack is not going to let this team overlook Wake or App St. I think we entertain Clemson at 4-0.
But both sides of the ball are going to get better. If we can get thru the Clemson game without significant injuries, this offense will be ready to roll. Even though a small sample size, Howells decision making has been great. Many of his throws are pro level thru tiny windows. That very young offensive line will mature and jell. I think there are some studs there with McKethran, Montilus, and Tucker. That OL group can get the job done.
Bateman will keep us in games but this offense will be hard to deal with after Clemson game. Don't think we have a shot at beating Clemson but more importantly will be how we play on both sides of the ball against them.
Mack is not going to let this team overlook Wake or App St. I think we entertain Clemson at 4-0.
We’ve got a lot of youth in the trenches. That bodes well for the future, especially after we add those defensive studs next year.
ESPN has an article on big questions can could be answered by games this weekend.
"The Mack Brown Comeback Tour picked up its second win in as many tries last week, enduring a double-digit comeback by Miami and then scoring late to win anyway. But if SP+ has been slow to warm too much to Maryland, it's still downright glacial when it comes to the Tar Heels. After starting the season 66th in SP+, they are only up to 56th at the moment despite two power conference wins.
The major reason is, on paper, they shouldn't have beaten Miami. SP+ is a predictive measure and is therefore built primarily around the steadier and more predictive aspects of the game. I refer often to a measure called postgame win expectancy, which basically looks at the more predictive stats from a game and says, "based on these stats, you could have expected to win this game X percent of the time." UNC's postgame win expectancy against Miami: 31 percent. The Canes had the higher success rate and better field position and created more scoring opportunities. They win that game most of the time.
A win's a win, but UNC's stat profile isn't particularly impressive just yet, and now the Heels are a 3-point underdog in Friday's oddly timed, oddly nonconference game at Wake. Granted, they weren't supposed to beat South Carolina or Miami either, but there's justifiable reason why both Vegas and the numbers have been slow to warm. Not even Mack's dance moves have swayed them. Yet."
"The Mack Brown Comeback Tour picked up its second win in as many tries last week, enduring a double-digit comeback by Miami and then scoring late to win anyway. But if SP+ has been slow to warm too much to Maryland, it's still downright glacial when it comes to the Tar Heels. After starting the season 66th in SP+, they are only up to 56th at the moment despite two power conference wins.
The major reason is, on paper, they shouldn't have beaten Miami. SP+ is a predictive measure and is therefore built primarily around the steadier and more predictive aspects of the game. I refer often to a measure called postgame win expectancy, which basically looks at the more predictive stats from a game and says, "based on these stats, you could have expected to win this game X percent of the time." UNC's postgame win expectancy against Miami: 31 percent. The Canes had the higher success rate and better field position and created more scoring opportunities. They win that game most of the time.
A win's a win, but UNC's stat profile isn't particularly impressive just yet, and now the Heels are a 3-point underdog in Friday's oddly timed, oddly nonconference game at Wake. Granted, they weren't supposed to beat South Carolina or Miami either, but there's justifiable reason why both Vegas and the numbers have been slow to warm. Not even Mack's dance moves have swayed them. Yet."
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