Here are my keys that I posted on the main board to try and get some feedback from some rival fans.
Whoever is on Allen-I am assuming it will be Paige but think Berry should get most of the minutes here. He is a good defender but obviously Allen can shoot over him. I think the key is forcing Allen to go left, though that is easier said than done obviously. They need to keep him off the FT line and hope he isn't hot from outside. If Brice is on Ingram JJ may be on Allen as well.
Jackson on Ingram-I hope he is guarding him. He did a good job on Artis and his length makes him a decent defender. He isn't strong but Ingram isn't either. I really don't think anyone can guard Ingram all that well. He is going to get his shot off most of the time IMO. I think he is just a tremendous player. My fear is Brice guards him and I think that is an advantageous matchup for Duke.
Those are only two individuals that really stress me out. The team as a whole stresses me out as I know there are more guys that can beat us but if we can limit those two I think UNC is in great shape. There are two other big keys for UNC's D.
1. Guard the three-IMO, UNC should only help off bigs or anyone that is inside. If they make a pass to someone around the basket so be it. We can contest many of those I think. I think Duke shots best off the kick so I would rather sacrifice a few guys shooting over our guys because we are giving them space to avoid the drive and kick rather than helping down to give up kick outs. I think anyone in a UNC uniform guarding a guy who is around the three point line should never help in this game, especially to help down on a big. It is a worthless venture that serves no purpose.
2. Offensive rebounds-This is a huge weakness for UNC. In the past, Duke has killed UNC by getting ORs and kicking out to the three ball.
Overall, Duke's spacing (which is always great) will give UNC problems. They have to limit the three and have their key guys stay out of foul trouble, which I know is probably also a focus for Duke with their bench.
On offense I think UNC really has to simply find ways to get the bigs the ball. Our frontcourt should have an advantage but the guards and wings have to do a better job getting them the ball. I think Duke is going to be reluctant to be too physical inside so they don't foul so if we get our bigs the ball I think we should have success there. If we get the bigs the ball that can create space on the perimeter for some open looks. The main focus for the guards is simply handling the pressure defense, which has been much better for Duke recently.
If Duke goes zone, which is possible, the key will be Brice operating from the free throw line area and our ability to penetrate and move the zone. Brice killed the Syracuse zone late in the game when paired with Hicks and I'm sure K is aware of this. If they do zone, I think he may actually go with a sagging 3-2 instead of what most people would think against UNC (the 2-3). I have no idea though as I don't watch them enough to really know what zone defense he likes to run.
Anyway, I'll be at BWWs here in Clarksville having a good time with friends (UNC, Duke, and Tennessee fans) so won't be on here.