NCAA seed scenarios

[imajericho]

If we win out we will be a 1 seed. This means regular season and ACC tournament title.

If we beat Miami and lose to Duke. We can't go higher than a 2.

If we lose out we will be a 4.

Most other scenarios lead us to a 3 seed.

 

[Archer2]

I’d be happy with a 2 seed. Don’t think we’ll win out.

 

[imajericho]

Virginia and Mich St/Purdue are guaranteed a 1. Villanova is likely a 1 unless they lose out .(Xavier could possibly jump them). This leaves Duke Cincinnati UNC and possibly Auburn as the 4th 1.

 

[gauchoheel]

Kansas is getting a 1 folks. Win two of our next three and I think we have a great shot at the 2 line.

 

[thaUNCshow]

Kansas is getting a 1 folks. Win two of our next three and I think we have a great shot at the 2 line.

and ill be betting tons of money that theyll be the first 1 seed out of the tournament (as usual)

 

[dadika13]

I think we're a 2. Go 1-1 in the regular season then win a game or two in the ACC's.

 

[TarHeelTroy]

A lot will shake out in the next couple weeks.. I think we get a 2 or 3.

 

[imajericho]

Kansas is getting a 1 folks. Win two of our next three and I think we have a great shot at the 2 line.

If we win out and Kansas wins out we will be a 1. Not Kansas.

 

[ajklum]

in my expert opinion... I bet we end up with a 3 in the toughest region.

 

[acarter0277]

in my expert opinion... I bet we end up with a 3 in the toughest region.

LOL...With Kansas as the #2 and Kentucky as a #8 or #9

 

[RoseHeel]

Very little chance that we're not getting KU this year. The selection committee's obsession with generating drama for the tourney will not allow them to miss the chance for this matchup.

 

[gauchoheel]

If we win out and Kansas wins out we will be a 1. Not Kansas.

The odds of both happening are incredibly small. RPI Forecast gives us about a 20% chance of winning our last two regular season games (80% chance of win vs Miami, 26% chance of winning @ dook). We probably don't have a >25% chance of winning the ACC tourney based on having to win three in a row including likely two games against dook and UVA.

Those numbers could be fairly far off and it'd still be unlikely. For example, a 40% chance at winning @dook and 35% chance of winning the ACCT gives us an 11% chance of winning out. That means the combined odds of both teams doing so has to be less than 5%. Not really the scenario I'm considering, and if it happens perhaps Xavier gets a 2 and we both get 1s.

 

[imajericho]

The current bracketology has us as a 2 in the west with Kansas as the 1. Tenn as the 3 and Arizona as the 4. Nevada as the 6. Houston as the 7. UL or USC I think as the 11.

That is actually a super good bracket for us.

 

[dadika13]

The current bracketology has us as a 2 in the west with Kansas as the 1. Tenn as the 3 and Arizona as the 4. Nevada as the 6. Houston as the 7. UL or USC I think as the 11.

That is actually a super good bracket for us.

I would sign up for that in a heartbeat.

 

[imajericho]

The odds of both happening are incredibly small. RPI Forecast gives us about a 20% chance of winning our last two regular season games (80% chance of win vs Miami, 26% chance of winning @ dook). We probably don't have a >25% chance of winning the ACC tourney based on having to win three in a row including likely two games against dook and UVA.

Those numbers could be fairly far off and it'd still be unlikely. For example, a 40% chance at winning @dook and 35% chance of winning the ACCT gives us an 11% chance of winning out. That means the combined odds of both teams doing so has to be less than 5%. Not really the scenario I'm considering, and if it happens perhaps Xavier gets a 2 and we both get 1s.

The number of quality and top wins we would have if we run the table is why we would be a 1. Ofc it prob won't happen. But, the scenario is there.