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Oregon Preview and Matchups

gauchoheel

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Jul 29, 2016
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Here's Oregon's tournament rotation with some stats and analysis:

Guards:
PG Payton Pritchard 6-2, 200 lb: 29 mpg, 10.5 Points/40, .455 2P%, .355 3P%
Wing Dylan Ennis 6-2, 195 lb: 32 mpg, 13.6 Points/40, .483 2P%, .367 3P%
Wing Tyler Dorsey 6-4, 195 lb: 30 mpg, 19.5 Points/40, .523 2P%, .423 3P%
Reserve Casey Benson 6-3, 185 lb: 21 mpg, 9.4 Points/40, .475 2P%, .403 3P%

Tyler Dorsey is the top scorer here, as he can take it to the hole and is extremely accurate from 3. He's attempted 201 3-pointers, everyone else on Oregon has shot <140. The other guards can all shoot but that's the extent of their offensive game, with all showing below average efficiency and frequency from inside the arc. Look for Jackson to guard Dorsey in a key matchup, and if he can hold him down so the rest of the team doesn't have to help too far off their man it will be huge.

Pritchard is a steady freshman point guard with 5.1 assists/40 and limited turnovers, but the offense doesn't really run through him. Ennis and Brooks are not far behind on assist rate, and it is very common for Brooks to lead offensive sets because he is so dynamic.

Forwards:
4 Dillon Brooks 6-7, 225 lb: 29mpg, 26.0 Points/40, .540 2P%, .410 3P%, 5.0 Reb/40
5 Jordan Bell 6-9, 225 lb: 25 mpg. 15.2 Points/40, .657 2P%, 12.0 Reb/40
Reserve Kavell Bigby-Williams 6-11, 230 lb: 10 mpg, 12.6 Points/40, .455 2P%, 11.6 Reb/40

Oregon is missing it's top shot blocker and post scoring threat in Chris Boucher, so Brooks and Bell are taking almost all of the minutes in the tournament (KBW played 8 minutes vs Kansas). Brooks is the big matchup problem, as he's too quick for Hicks/Maye to guard but much bigger than Jackson. He is easily their top scoring threat, as he's very efficient from 2 and 3. One thing to note, he's not much of a rebounder, so Hicks needs to step up and get some offensive boards.

Bell is more athletic than Meeks, but Meeks has the size advantage. That matchup is also very important for rebounds, as Bell had 7 offensive boards vs Kansas. He's the only player on the court most of the time who's not a 3-pt threat. It will be interesting to see if we can dictate the game enough to where Oregon has to put KBW on the floor with Bell. That would mean Hicks/Maye are dominating on the glass and are able to contain Dillon Brooks. He would almost certainly replace Dylan Ennis, removing one of their perimeter scoring threats and harming spacing.

Bottomline: Contain Brooks and Dorsey without too much help so the rest of the shooters don't get easy shots. Take advantage of Oregon's lack of size on the boards, with Meeks needing to box out Jordan Bell. On offense Oregon was first in the Pac-12 in steals with every starter at >1 steal/40, but we will have a size advantage at every position except point guard.
 
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We have a size advantage across the board except PG but their PG is generally a nonfactor on offense. I think this will allow us to effectively guard them. Think if we take the 3 away from them and pound it i side that it could be a runaway game.

Bell is one man who likes to block shots which makes him very susceptible to fouling.
 
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We might catch a break in that Berry can guard Pritchard who isn't the prototype quick PG and lot of time doesn't have ball in hand much. Once in front court Dorsey and Brooks have it most of the time... We split those two up between Theo and Jackson and hope they can play defense like this past Sunday and force them off 3 point line
 
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We might catch a break in that Berry can guard Pritchard who isn't the prototype quick PG and lot of time doesn't have ball in hand much. Once in front court Dorsey and Brooks have it most of the time... We split those two up between Theo and Jackson and hope they can play defense like this past Sunday and force them off 3 point line

If Jackson guards Brooks though, Hicks has to guard Ennis. It's possible, but I feel Roy will put Hicks on Brooks.
 
If Jackson guards Brooks though, Hicks has to guard Ennis. It's possible, but I feel Roy will put Hicks on Brooks.

Agree that Hicks will start on Brooks and if we are winning and in control of the game that will continue, but it's an interesting thought if we need to switch up momentum a la the zone against UK. Think about it, if there has to be a mismatch on the court why not force their fourth best player to take advantage of it instead of their best?
 
Agree that Hicks will start on Brooks and if we are winning and in control of the game that will continue, but it's an interesting thought if we need to switch up momentum a la the zone against UK. Think about it, if there has to be a mismatch on the court why not force their fourth best player to take advantage of it instead of their best?

Yeah I agree. Especially because Ennis is mostly an outside shooter, that mitigates our quickness disadvantage. I think it's a good option.
 
Bell is one man who likes to block shots which makes him very susceptible to fouling.
That would be helpful for us, but Pomeroy lists him as one of the better players for not fouling. So apparently he's pretty good at blocking without fouling.

I'd like to run some plays at him using Hicks. Hicks' fall-away jumper is pretty accurate and darn hard to block.
 
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