I guess it depends on what kid wants, do ya just want to get drafted in to the NBA or do you want a long term career with multiple contracts after that rookie deals is finished. Some kids don't have that big time upside that allows a long term career and some do but need to mature their game as well as themselves.
We can throw out $4 million as an amazing amount of money and for most of us it is but if taking that 4mil means you enter before your game is ready and fail to show the NBA that big time assumed potential, then it can cost you near 10s-100s of millions down the road. Just getting there should not be the point, getting there ready to produce and showing why that next contract should be 100mil rather than 20mil should be the point. Having 12-15yr career rather than 5 or 6 should be the point and I strongly believe learning the game from college coaching is the best way to do that and I do not believe 1 single season in the college game allows you to maximize that learning process.
If you are not ready to hit the ground running in the NBA then maybe you are jumping in to soon, while that rookie season is going to be a lot of adjusting, in year 2 or 3 you should become a real factor for your team. A lot of one and done kids are talented enough to be able to do just that and do, I did not and do not think Tony was ready, honestly from what I watched I would have suggested he needed 3yrs in the college game unless his improvement curve was off the charts from frosh to soph.
Yeah, he could have had a career ending injury but he would have insurance that would have covered him for that. I mean it was a case of a kid going to soon, as talented as he was when he went he should have been a lotto guy and as it was he was very lucky to even be 1st round? I wish him well and have no hard feelings for the decision he and his family made, I just believe it was a bad decision, either way he was going to be a millionaire, I would have loved to see him a hundred millionaire and be able to have a David Robinson like impact on the NBA and I think he had that kind of raw potential. But that cake was pulled out of the over before being fully baked, it may still taste good but oh what it could have been...Oh, IMO...
Oh and MJ spent 3yrs in the college game, how much did it cost him, we all know because he has told us publicly how much he benefited from playing 3yrs for Dean but I don't think it cost him anything when from his own lips he shares he would not have become near the p[layer if he had not had that experience under Dean at UNC. The ceiling became the roof!