STAT REVIEW: Games 1-13 vs. 14-28

[JimmyNaismith]

The team's roster went through a significant shift in the beginning of January. Dawson Garcia was feeling the weight of his family's issues and got a concussion. Anthony Harris was declared ineligible. Since then we've seen the starters log even more minutes, and we've seen some changes in how the the team has played. Here is a comparison of those two periods with the stats that I pay attention to (remember that negative changes for opponent stats are a good thing. See Spoiler for a few more notes):

	thru BC	since ND	% Change
PTS	79.5	75.7	-5%
pts	70.9	73.1	3%
FGM	28.6	26.8	-6%
FGA	59.4	61.5	4%
3FGM	7.8	8.9	14%
3FGA	19.6	24.8	26%
FTM	14.5	13.2	-9%
FTA	19.3	17.2	-11%
ORB	9.8	10.9	12%
DRB	30.3	27.7	-8%
REB	40.1	38.7	-4%
AST	14.8	14.4	-3%
STL	5.4	5.4	0%
BS	3.5	4.3	23%
TO	12.4	11.7	-5%
PF	12.7	14.8	16%
MP	9.2	7.6	-18%
fgm	27.2	26.9	-1%
fga	64.3	60.5	-6%
3fgm	7.7	8.4	9%
3fga	24.7	22.2	-10%
ftm	8.9	10.9	23%
fta	12.5	14.9	19%
orb	8.4	7.4	-12%
drb	23.2	25.3	9%
reb	31.6	32.7	4%
ast	14.1	12.1	-14%
stl	7.2	6.6	-9%
bs	3.4	3.0	-11%
to	9.9	10.4	5%
pf	16.3	16.1	-1%
mp	5.3	6.8	28%
MOV	8.6	2.7	-69%
FG%	0.482	0.438	-9%
3FG%	0.394	0.362	-8%
%3FG	0.329	0.405	23%
2FG%	0.522	0.496	-5%
FT%	0.747	0.761	2%
APP	0.185	0.179	-3%
APFG	0.514	0.534	4%
ATO	1.345	1.277	-5%
POSS	81.0	80.8	0%
P/P	0.984	0.939	-5%
%LOB	0.152	0.147	-4%
fg%	0.422	0.447	6%
3fg%	0.331	0.377	14%
%3fg	0.387	0.365	-6%
2fg%	0.490	0.488	0%
ft%	0.761	0.695	-9%
app	0.178	0.157	-12%
apfg	0.511	0.447	-13%
ato	1.58	1.33	-15%
poss	79.5	77.7	-2%
p/p	0.890	0.940	6%
%lob	0.127	0.134	6%
POSDIF	1.5	3.1	114%
POSS	160.5	158.5	-1%
DSI	-0.006	-0.101	1553%

Spoiler: "Table Key"

Sorry this is out of order from the table. The above is my base set of stats from which I generate the typical stats I post. Might as well post everything here since we are at it! One stat in here that is of interest is MP. Those are miscellaneous possessions; those that end in 2-shot and 1-and-1 free throws (not and-1s)

ALL CAPS = UNC statistic
lowercase = opponent’s statistic
STAT = Statistic being reportd
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Thanks to @TarHeelMark for asking about this. Great question!

 

[TarHeelMark]

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[JimmyNaismith]

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[JimmyNaismith]

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