Stat Review: Louisville (2/21/22)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	49	61
3FG%	28	27
2FG%	68	97
FT%	85	89
fg%	45	31
3fg%	25	79
2fg%	63	3
ft%	40	97
PTS/POSS	0.97	61
pts/poss	0.84	52
POSS	72	6
POSDIF	-3	24
%LOB	18	33
%lob	17	57
SmithIdx	0.03	59
Interesting Stats
TOTPOSS	147	8
%FROM3	47.2	98
%from3	47	14
AST/POSS	0.17	28

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reportd
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
With 147 Total Possessions, it was another really slow game. By comparison, in the game against UVA there were 141 possessions. We've been between 146-156 in 5 of our last 6 games. We are averaging 159.4 possessions a game, but the program has averaged 169.0 (+/- 5.4) since 1996. Only the 1999 team played slower than this team, with 158.3 possessions per game.

If you look on Twitter for @Freeportkid, you'll see some recently posted stats showing an enormous dropoff in total efficiency when UNC goes from 4 to 3 starters in the game. Therefore, I'm pretty sure we will see a continuation of this very tight rotation, and continued slow pace so that players like Manek can make it to the end.

Louisville was notably great inside the arc, shooting 63%. It's a clip that only 36 teams in the last 946 have achieved, yet Louisville jacked up 47% of their attempts from beyond the arc.

UNC was also even better inside the arc, shooting 68%, a feat only accomplished 26 times in the last 946 outings. UNC, too, jacked up 47% of their shots from 3. That's an affinity for the 3 found in only 28 games in the last 946.

Makes you wonder what the coaches both benches were thinking, especially given that both teams were only 25% and 28% from 3.

 

[TarHeelMark]

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