Stat Review: Miami (2/26/24)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	44	37
3FG%	35	47
2FG%	51	51
FT%	57	13
fg%	39	63
3fg%	47	12
2fg%	32	94
ft%	69	48
PTS/POSS	0.91	44
pts/poss	0.88	42
TOTPOSS	163	36
POSDIF	1	44
%LOB	15	59
%lob	17	59
SmithIdx	-0.0619	40
Interesting Stats
ast/poss	0.14	66
AST/TO	1.08	33
OR%	0.29	30
or%	0.16	82
%FROM3	42.6	93

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
OR% = UNC Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.344)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
or% = Opponent Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.241)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
Saturday it was Ryan showing up to save the team from a bad team effort, and tonight it was RJ Davis, who set a Smith Center scoring record with his 42 point effort. Davis scored 56% of the teams points in an almost average scoring night. Simply incredible!

The rest of the team struggled with 33% shooting form the field and 13% from behind the arc against a team without two of its starters. While it is great that we have multiple players who can rise up and carry the team, it is not comforting from a long term standpoint, to be certain.

UNC scored 0.91 points per possession while allowing Miami to score 0.88. The only stat that really stands out from a team perspective is Miami's 47% 3-point shooting. UNC did force Miami into 17% loss of ball, a better-than average defensive night for this team.

Next up is a hungry, disorganized NCSU team. Like their football team, they tend to play better away from the spotlight, and have improved considerably since the first meeting of these two teams.

 

[kjcooper]

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