Stat Review: Notre Dame (1/8/23)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	48	54
3FG%	42	70
2FG%	50	44
FT%	58	15
fg%	42	50
3fg%	39	32
2fg%	43	64
ft%	50	89
PTS/POSS	1.00	69
pts/poss	0.86	45
TOTPOSS	155	19
POSDIF	7	76
%LOB	10	90
%lob	11	14
SmithIdx	0.0351	60
Interesting Stats
AST/FG	0.61	59
AST/TO	2.38	91
%RMS	0.38	63
%FROM3	29.2	53

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
UNC came away with a nice, clean performance against a bad team. The game was a very slow tempo, and featured very few turnovers and free throws. UNC shared the ball well, continuing their upward trend of assists. In the 7 games since the loss at Virginia Tech, UNC has exceeded their program average of 0.59 assists per field goal 3 times along with 2 near-average performances. In the previous 9 games, their only performances exceeding 0.50 A/FG were 0.52, 0.55, and 0.55.

There weren't many historic elements to this game other than the Percentage Loss of Ball, which ranked as the 78th cleanest game in their last 974. The Assists|Turnover ratio was their 72nd cleanest game in that period.

I haven't compared other teams' schedules, but I can't imagine anyone has a tougher remaining 15 games in the ACC than UNC. All road games are tough, and there are 7 home games featuring only 3 bad teams (BC, NCSU, Clemson). The other 4 home games are against Pitt (revenge), #12 Miami, #11 UVA, and #16 Duke. In those 15 remaining games, 7 of those games come against the league's top third.

Tuesday's game at UVA should be the toughest remaining game on the schedule. The Heels haven't won there in over a decade, and this should be a good one.

 

[kjcooper]

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[JimmyNaismith]

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[kjcooper]

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