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Stat Review - @UVA (1/10/23)

JimmyNaismith

All-American
Nov 7, 2021
2,274
2,570
113
STATVALUEPCTLEHISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%4016
UNC_statBox_15.png

3FG%3343
UNC_statBox_40.png

2FG%4524
UNC_statBox_20.png

FT%6738
UNC_statBox_35.png

fg%4626
UNC_statBox_25.png

3fg%3258
UNC_statBox_55.png

2fg%5517
UNC_statBox_15.png

ft%5876
UNC_statBox_75.png

PTS/POSS0.8219
UNC_statBox_15.png

pts/poss0.9328
UNC_statBox_25.png

TOTPOSS1414
UNC_statBox_0.png

POSDIF144
UNC_statBox_40.png

%LOB1830
UNC_statBox_25.png

%lob1116
UNC_statBox_15.png

SmithIdx-0.211715
UNC_statBox_15.png

Interesting Stats
AST/FG0.4310
UNC_statBox_10.png

AST/TO0.6917
UNC_statBox_15.png

%RMS0.2518
UNC_statBox_15.png

%FROM345.397
UNC_statBox_95.png


STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)
Discussion
Let's face it. With Bacot and Nance out, the Heels did pretty well to lose this game by essentially 2 possessions. During the game the team went through high and low stretches, so they had their chances. I'll chalk this one up to a character building game.

Historically it was one of the slowest games we've played as a program, with 141 total possessions. In the last 975 games, only 43 have been slower. UNC's offense was historically discombobulated, too. They were in the 10th percentile in assists per field goal, and took a sky-high 45% of their shots from 3. They've only done that 44 times since 1996.

So was it the defense or the offense? We want to hold teams below 0.85 points per possession, and UVA scored 0.93. Offensively we only scored 0.82, 0.13 from our goal of 0.95. so the offense was further off of our goal than was the defense. Add those two together, and you get a -0.2117 Smith Factor, a 15th percentile-level performance.
 
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