Stat Review: UVA (3/9/23)

[JimmyNaismith]

STAT	VALUE	PCTLE	HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%	36	7
3FG%	30	32
2FG%	42	16
FT%	72	57
fg%	49	14
3fg%	27	74
2fg%	59	7
ft%	73	38
PTS/POSS	0.82	20
pts/poss	1.03	9
TOTPOSS	138	3
POSDIF	6	72
%LOB	15	54
%lob	9	8
SmithIdx	-0.3109	6
Interesting Stats
AST/FG	0.58	49
ast/to	1.83	11
%from3	31	70
%FROM3	50.9	99

Spoiler: "Table Key"

STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)

Discussion
Was it the final game of the season? Probably so. Was it one of UNC's worst games in the 3-point era? Probably so.

UNC scored 0.82 points per possession while allowing Ken Pomeroy's #72 offense to score 1.03 points per possession. If you think UNC's offense was bad, they were only 0.13 off of Dean Smith's goal. The defense was 0.18 off of Smith's goal. It made for a Smith Index of -0.3109, the 6th worst performance by a UNC team in the last 991 games.

On a night when UVA's best player didn't play and the two remaining big men found themselves in early foul trouble, UNC opted to take 51% of their shots from 3-point land; they only shot 30% from there. In the last 991 games, UNC has only suckled at the 3-point teat more in 13 games. It's astonishing to watch a team with such a one-track mind that it has absolutely no awareness of the opponent's weaknesses.

You want some good news? Well, you won't find it on the defensive end. UNC has allowed an opponent to be more efficient on only 86 of its last 991 games. They allowed UVA to shoot 59% inside the arc, the 911th-worst interior defense since 1996. They allowed UVA an assist/turnover ratio of 1.83, an 11th percentile performance on defense.

Not only were the Heels astonishingly ugly, the game was, too. Neither team shot 50% from the field nor 30% from 3, and there were only 138 total possessions. We've only had 26 games slower than this one in the last 991.

Over the last 5 years we have seen a deterioration of defensive intensity and a plague of bad body language. Hubert needs to send some coaches and players on their way, Monday, to save this program.

 

[TarHeelMark]

This is premium content. Please subscribe to view.

 

[kjcooper]

This is premium content. Please subscribe to view.