For those who are new around here, since 1996 I've compiled the team stats for every game (996 and counting), which allows us to compare the performance of a game against the program's standard. Each stat is explained once you click the "spoiler" button. Points per possession, loss of ball, and total possession numbers are based on Dean Smith's definition of a possession, which leads to very different (and more accurate) numbers than those published by Ken Pomeroy and the like.
Discussion
UNC was able to score 0.92 points per possession, which is just short of Dean Smith's goal, but they allowed 0.98 from Villanova. Villanova shot 23% from 3 and 47% from 2, an excellent defensive showing for UNC. UNC had 3 more possessions, so they outrebounded Villanova. The problems were the startlingly low number of turnovers forced, and the enormous number of free throws attempted by Villanova. In other words UNC's big men did a horrible job defending without fouling, and the guards, as we have seen the last 3 years, did a horrible job of forcing turnovers. It's early, but this game almost exactly matches the profile of the typical game we've seen from Hubert's group since Day 1.
| STAT | VALUE | PCTLE | HISTORICAL COMPARISON |
| Base Stats | |||
| FG% | 43 | 31 |
|
| 3FG% | 38 | 57 | 
|
| 2FG% | 46 | 29 | 
|
| FT% | 70 | 48 | 
|
| fg% | 38 | 68 | 
|
| 3fg% | 23 | 84 | 
|
| 2fg% | 47 | 44 | 
|
| ft% | 89 | 8 | 
|
| PTS/POSS | 0.92 | 46 |
|
| pts/poss | 0.98 | 18 | 
|
| TOTPOSS | 173 | 60 | 
|
| POSDIF | 3 | 55 |
|
| %LOB | 15 | 58 |
|
| %lob | 11 | 13 | 
|
| SmithIdx | -0.1560 | 23 | 
|
| Interesting Stats | |||
| ast/poss | 0.06 | 97 | 
|
| %RMS | 0.35 | 53 | 
|
| %rms | 0.30 | 26 |
|
| %from3 | 37 | 47 |
|
| %FROM3 | 36.9 | 81 |
|
STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.
FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)
MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.
FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)
MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)
UNC was able to score 0.92 points per possession, which is just short of Dean Smith's goal, but they allowed 0.98 from Villanova. Villanova shot 23% from 3 and 47% from 2, an excellent defensive showing for UNC. UNC had 3 more possessions, so they outrebounded Villanova. The problems were the startlingly low number of turnovers forced, and the enormous number of free throws attempted by Villanova. In other words UNC's big men did a horrible job defending without fouling, and the guards, as we have seen the last 3 years, did a horrible job of forcing turnovers. It's early, but this game almost exactly matches the profile of the typical game we've seen from Hubert's group since Day 1.
