Pitt and BC should be there, but they might just welcome their cohort mate NCSU if the new coach can't rapidly change their culture!
I would bet the Manning will have Wake move up a tier.
Won't be easy. Just above Wake this year were Syracuse and Va Tech. Va Tech isn't dropping, so they will have to push past Syracuse.
Syracuse lost a lot of talent - 4 starters plus Coleman - and have only a so-so incoming class. So they could well drop.
Can Wake rise without Collins? He and outside shooter Arians (43%) are their main losses. They have guys who should be able to fill in for Arians, but Collins was a serious talent - even though we made him look pretty bad - and it isn't clear whether Wake's replacement options are any good (unless there are transfers or redshirts).
OTOH, this will be Manning's 4th year and he has a lot of experience on that roster. So it could be the time for everything to click.
Crawford is a seriously good ball distributor and can score. Mitoglou will be a senior and is a decent rebounder. Guys like Woods and Wilbekin can fill it up from deep. And the whole team shoots lights out from the FT line.
So . . . now that I think of it, Wake does seem to have a good shot to move up. The question becomes whether anyone else, besides Syracuse, will slide down and let Wake move even higher.