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- Thread starter UNC71-00
- Start date
No. the USC poll in particular asks the same people each day.
Read the methodology.
In fact, the methodology differs for all polls. The WSJ one you cited had 18.7% more Democrats than Republicans. Why is anyone surprised they have Hilldawg in the lead?
Asking the same people everyday isn't that great of a measure. How many times in the past 90 days would you have voted for Hilary instead of Trump? Same question for @UNC '92 and @gunslingerdick . @strummingram, @BillyL, @chick_bleeds_carolina_blue how many times in the past 90 days would you have voted for Trump instead of Hilary?
Guess we are looking at different links, because those polls show it going back and forth. Scroll down to middle of page and take a look at May.
Fine. You put your faith in piolls that sample Democrats at a 20 % higher clip and I will put mine elsewhere.
To be fair, it wasn't the NYT's original content. At the bottom of the article it says where they get their polling data.
The Huffington Post. Lol.
Think they have the stones to throw explosives through windows? Or are they not as hardcore as their haters?
Perfection. To have to ask is to exhibit the thing itself.
Nowhere. They're champions of racial equality, gender equality, sexual orientation and all kinds of social choice. Conservatives are always making sure new ideas are brought to the forefront. My bad.
Northern Virginia is heavy democrat, along with the Richmond and Hampton Roads areas . . I've seen no support whatsoever for Trump here in NoVa.
If, Trump himself thought he had any chance here he would not have pulled his ads.
Heard on the radio today that Trump is only polling at 29% here in the Commonwealth . .
If, Trump himself thought he had any chance here he would not have pulled his ads.
Heard on the radio today that Trump is only polling at 29% here in the Commonwealth . .
Most of my family lives in Southern VA, south of Richmond. They add-up to about 40 plus people, give or take in all. And, it's about 70% democrat, 30% republican. They all like Kaine, apparently.
I have plenty of faith in Nate Silver's averaging of polls.
There are a few republicans here in the state that like Kaine as well.
There are a few republicans here in the state that like Kaine as well.
And Bernie would probably be 20 points ahead of Trump by now.
If he had just ran as an independent from the get go he'd be dominating Trump and Hillary right now.
Leave really took off when Odumbo went over and told them they should vote to stay.
You think so? I dunno. I just don't think a majority of Americans are ready to go to his level of how government should be run. I could be wrong.
You are looking at it wrong. All of May had Remain ahead.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...-disastrous-week-of-campaigning-a7368196.html
Ok, I see where the difference is. You are talking about betting odds/chance of winning and I was talking about the head to head numbers.
No. In the FT link you posted showing poll data, Remain was ahead entirely through May.
I just added that other link this morning to show that bookies are seeing exactly the same pattern on this election as they saw with Brexit.
Ok, the way I'm looking at it is that the highlighted number is the number in the lead. I searched for another one and found an aggregate one on WSJ. It looks like stay was either in the lead by a small amount or tied for most of May, but there was a switch around the beginning of June.
http://graphics.wsj.com/brexit-whos-voting-what/
I'm not getting in the middle of this pissing contest, but I'll just say I put a hell of a lot more faith into betting odds than I do some random poll. Polls can be manipulated and even outright fictionalized in order to show what the presenter wants it to show. When someone is willing to take millions of dollars in action at given odds, I trust that those odds are as accurate as possible.
@UNC71-00 and I finally came to an agreement, but thanks for bringing it back up like a dick.
Technically it was multiple polls
Also, water is wet.
I do what I can. The point being I trust people who will back their stated percentages monetarily.
