Please no more work. I'm tired of Googling celebrities most likely to die.
Celebrity Death Pool - Round 11
- Thread starter Hark_The_Sound_2010
- Start date
THERE'S A THREAD ABOUT PORN ON HERE?!Somebody puts a thread up about porn and all of you disappear.
bid $5 x 1 for Valerie Harper...offer Queen Elizabeth $5 x 2
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buddy of mine shot me a text late yesterday and asked me if "i thought arnie was already dead and they just wheeled him out?"
this is my horse, still livin it up....
http://pagesix.com/2016/03/21/sex-o...tainer/?_ga=1.199429486.1143017546.1458146297
http://pagesix.com/2016/03/21/sex-o...tainer/?_ga=1.199429486.1143017546.1458146297
Best quote from the article: She said the nurse would sometimes tell Sumner he had finished, “when in fact he had not … Sumner appeared to believe him, not aware of the truth.”
Another good line:
Cohan adds, “The other person who heard about the contents of the tape said just visualizing the scene ‘ruined my sex life for a couple of weeks.’ (Redstone declined to comment.)”
I'm right about there too after reading that article *barfs* Can you even get it up at that age....?
Phife Dawg of A Tribe Called Quest was found dead at the young age of 45. No one had him in the pool. But I'm posting in respect to acknowledge that Phife was an underrated MC of the 90s. Despite being the self proclaimed "Five-Footer", he was a giant of the rap game. RIP.
Just in an attempt to clarify what I meant by the whole terminally ill clause, etc. I think Craig Sager would have been eligible to be drafted this time around, because his leukemia was in remission at the time. However it's been announced this week that it is no longer in remission, and he's now been given a 3-6 month timetable to live, which I would say eliminates him as a potential draftee.
Can we drop a player from our team and pick someone up off of free agency? What are the rules around this?
Thanks.
Thanks.
It took you guys a decade to go through the draft and now you want to add free agency? I'm positive someone would die before a transaction gets completed.
I would lean towards no - at least this time around since it wasn't declared beforehand, and in the event there's someone who isn't following the thread anymore that would put them at a disadvantage. I'd be open to considering that for the next round if enough people are in favor of it - but it could complicate things.
Back when I worked on large trading floor in Atlanta, we used to trade March Madness. We'd blind draw a pool for $20/bucks for each of the 64 teams. Payout was like $100 if team makes final four, $200 for final game, and winner gets $480. (so winning team was actually worth $780 portion of pot). Anyway, once the pool was funded, we'd start trading it! you bid or offered based on who you thought was going far or not going far. we had so many people playing that we kept a white board with bid/offer on each team. The thing is, if you sold a team, you were responsible for paying buyer if you sold team that finished in money. One year I think I shorted Arizona like 10 times and they went to final four and I lost a grand (less whatever I sold them for).
For this deal, you've got a set payout (I think it's $110 to winner) so it's tradeable.
Someone sells you a name that's on the list and they owe you the pool payout if they die. Don't have to own it to sell it, just have to price in the risk when you offer.
I'm willing to sell short a number of names on the list if anyone interested. and will use the proceeds to buy names of a couple that appear to be hanging on by a thread if I can find a seller willing to accept my bid!!!
For this deal, you've got a set payout (I think it's $110 to winner) so it's tradeable.
Someone sells you a name that's on the list and they owe you the pool payout if they die. Don't have to own it to sell it, just have to price in the risk when you offer.
I'm willing to sell short a number of names on the list if anyone interested. and will use the proceeds to buy names of a couple that appear to be hanging on by a thread if I can find a seller willing to accept my bid!!!
Yeah. Make it more complicated. Good idea.
@jcolucci that march madness thing sounds awesome, and is definitely translatable to this pool. I also work in finance and love the idea of going long/short some names on here. It's doable in that if as little as two people want to partake, it doesn't effect the rest of the board (I can go long, jcolucci going short, on one of GSDs people - and it only effects me and jcolucci, it wouldn't effect GSD at all as he would still get his payout if the guy died, but then jcolucci would also owe me the payout as well). So obviously if people want to do the option trading thing, that's fair game - its essentially a side bet, and it'd be cool to see it go down.
it got really interesting because there were similar pools going on our trading floors in NYC and Charlotte...and you could arbitrage one market against another. We'd have guys from NYC calling and whispering "What's the bid/offer on Duke down there?" ha!!
and then our FX guys would buy up entire region and then pair off the seeds they didn't like by pricing a package like "Sell entire South Region less seeds 1, 5, 7" etc.
Like I said, it was a blast.
I'll sell you something, just show me a bid.
and then our FX guys would buy up entire region and then pair off the seeds they didn't like by pricing a package like "Sell entire South Region less seeds 1, 5, 7" etc.
Like I said, it was a blast.
I'll sell you something, just show me a bid.
Glad to see I'm not the only one who doesn't understand what the heck he's talking about. It's Greek to me (or Italian?)
So there are 65 candidates. For a $130 payout (13 participants at $10 each - for purposes of this forget the fact that the winner profits $120 cuz he doesn't pay himself) so the average candidate has an expected value of $2 ($130/65). If you think someone is worth more than average you might offer me $5 to give you the $130 payout if he/she does "win". So if they die first, I owe you $130, otherwise you owe me $5. Or if you think someone has no chance at dying first you might sell them to me for $1. Figuring there's not a good chance you'll owe me the $130.
Rather than throw out specific people, I'll put out a bid of 50 cents on every candidate on the board, and an offer of $8 on any one of my candidates. But I'll certainly listen to more specific deals.
(My bid/offers are stackable by the way, so you can stick me with 10 long lives and get $5 from me, or take my whole squad - which obviously has the $130 winner in it
- for a mere $40)
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I'll offer Valerie Harper for $5 - so we made a market there.
I'll also bid $5 x 1 for each of the following (but only one, not multiple): Hugh Hefner, Muhammed Ali, Sumner Redstone, and Zsa Zsa Gabor - in the event you want to take one of those and call it a wash if someone other than Harper or your pick of those 4 die first.
Sounds good - glad we could strike a deal. I'm all set on Charlie Sheen - I was closer to taking Her Majesty actually. I've heard Tiger Blood lets you live for years
Hopefully others jump in and throw some bid/asks out there - would love to get this action flying around.
anyone else want some?
Current market quotes (as of 15:25 CDT 3/24/2016)
GHWBush - I bid $5 x1 / no offers yet
Fidel Castro - I bid $5 x1 / no offers yet
Kirk Douglas - I bid $5 x1 / no offers yet
Charlie Sheen - Hark bids $0.50 x? / I offer 10x $5
Queen Elizabeth - Hark bids $0.50 x? / I offer 2x $5
All others - Hark bids $0.50 x? / no offers yet
Confirmed Trades
jcolucci sold 1 Hugh Hefner to Hark
Hark sold 1 Valerie Harper to jcolucci
To be fair, trades are not considered done until counterparty confirms.
Current market quotes (as of 15:25 CDT 3/24/2016)
GHWBush - I bid $5 x1 / no offers yet
Fidel Castro - I bid $5 x1 / no offers yet
Kirk Douglas - I bid $5 x1 / no offers yet
Charlie Sheen - Hark bids $0.50 x? / I offer 10x $5
Queen Elizabeth - Hark bids $0.50 x? / I offer 2x $5
All others - Hark bids $0.50 x? / no offers yet
Confirmed Trades
jcolucci sold 1 Hugh Hefner to Hark
Hark sold 1 Valerie Harper to jcolucci
To be fair, trades are not considered done until counterparty confirms.
I'm gonna need a super dumbed down layman's version of what the heck y'all are talking about. Once I understand it, I'll play.
