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UNC vs Clemson Prediction Thread, Saturday, January 6, 12:00 noon (Triple Pts) ODDS UP

ODDS
-1.5 Clemson
Over/Under 157.5


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8

North Carolina Tar Heels

10-3, 2-0 CONF
North Carolina Tar Heels
ESPN2
1/6
12:00 PM


16

Clemson Tigers

11-2, 1-1 CONF
Clemson Tigers




Every effort will be made to make sure that the ODDS are posted approximately 24 hours before the game based from the Vegas links. Vegas does not normally issue the odds until approximately 24-28 hours before the game. The odds posted in the thread will normally be slightly different from the odds listed in the Vegas links. Your selection must be posted before the game starts. If you want to change your pick, please issue a revision to your original pick.


NCAA College Basketball Odds, Betting Lines & Point Spreads



Contest 5: Early Season Non-Conference Contest (only games that UNC participating )
Winners: Top 6 players win 3-month subscription to Premium

  • Battle for Atlantis (Possible opponents - Arkansas, Memphis, Michigan, Texas Tech, Villanova)
  • Tennessee (ACC/SEC Challenge)
  • UConn (Jimmy V Classic)
  • Kentucky (CBS Sports Classic)
  • Oklahoma (Jumpman Invitational)

Contest Rules:
Contest #1: Total points for entire season
Contest #2: Reset: Total points after game #15
Contest #3: Final Four Pool Bracket (Top 64 players)
Contest #4 Grand Prize: Total points ACC and NCAA tournaments games through title game (contest continues even if UNC eliminated)
Contest #5 Early Season Non-Conference Contest ( See games above)

Bullet Points!

For the first 20 games, three (3) Bullet points will automatically be added for any player that forgets to post a prediction for a game. Thus, as long as a player posts a prediction for at least one game, he will receive 3 points for all games that he fails to make a prediction. This is applicable even if he does not make his first prediction until the 20th game of the season. In this case, he will still get 60 points for the first 20 games that he failed to make a prediction for. Bullet Points will be automatically added. You do not have to request them.

Points Awarded Per Game

27 pts--Max points, Triple points game
18 pts--Double points game
9 pts--Partial points, Triple points game
6 pts--Partial points, Double points game
3 pts--automatic points for any game missed (you failed to make a prediction) in first 20 games
Special Note: The single point games have been eliminated

Grand Prize (Contest #4)
Post Season Contest

Top 15 players in Contest #1 and # 2
ACC and NCAA Tournaments games through title game (contest continues even if UNC eliminated)
Prizes: Large Flat Screen TV, Laptop or Tablet (winner option)

Contest #1 Prizes

1st Place - 1-Year Subscription to Premium, plus miscellaneous prize
2nd Place - 6-Month Subscription to Premium, plus miscellaneous prize
3rd Place - 3-Month Subscription to Premium
4th Place-- 3-Month Subscription to Premium

Contest #2 Prizes
1st Place - 1-Year Subscription to Premium, plus miscellaneous prize
2nd Place - 6-Month Subscription to Premium, plus miscellaneous prize
3rd Place - 3-Month Subscription to Premium
4th Place-- 3- month Subscription to Premium

Contest #3 Prizes
1st Place - 3-Month Subscription to Premium

Double Winners—subscriptions can be stacked not to exceed 1 year premium subscription.

Holiday eating tips

I’m older than most y’all so I’ve accumulated lots of wisdom when it comes to holiday eating whether it’s family or friend gatherings

1. If anyone puts carrots out or a veggie tray in general just punch them in the face. Ain’t nobody got time for that bull shyt. Olives are acceptable

2. Ask if there’s skim milk in the mashed potatoes. If there is just pass. It’s like a sports car with automatic transmission. The room in your stomache is too precious to waste on anything not fully caloried.

3. Lots of gravy. Gravy on everything. Make a fukin gravy volcano. The whole plate should be afloat in gravy

4. Don’t know which pie to eat? Eat them all. A piece of each. What other day of the year will you have multiple pie choices? If you’re not crazy about one just add lots of cool whip. Follow gravy instructions when applying.

5. No one gaf if it’s dressing or stuffing. Just eat it and know noones is as good as your moms. Don’t forget the gravy

6. Don’t snack before going somewhere for the meal in an effort to not eat as much. This is blasphemy.

7. Fruitcake? Don’t fall for it. Chances are it’s been regifted the last few decades

8. No exercise between tksgiving and christmas. Don’t even try. It’s hopeless. Walking to make room for more food is acceptable.
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Jim Leonard rumor

A friend of a friend's buddy was eavesdropping and overheard a guy saying his wife's friend has a source in the AD who said that Gene is going to be replaced with Jim Leonard and he'll have a large, long buyout clause which financially make him the likely person to take over when Mack steps aside.

Big name, but it still feels like kicking the can down the road unless S&C and everything else is rebooted.

New Mindset Change in the Portal Era

Seems this group, unlike some others, are making the change in attitude to the transfers occurring through the portal. Instead of despair and disappointment, I merely wish those leaving searching for more playing time elsewhere the best, as long as they don't go to our rival schools, dook or peckertown. Not upset , merely disappointed in a few that I felt in time, would develop and give us quality playing time, but no longer the case, if guys can get on the field now, not later. And while we have around 10 or so at this point, I think Ohio State has over a dozen , Alabama 10 or so, so it's just a change in the system, akin to a rule change, like a fair catch on the kickoff and get the ball on the 25, instead of the 20. I certainly felt we got upgrades with Huzzie, Tez , and some others, and we still are a good place to spend a year or so playing football. I look forward to more info on returning players and coaches and new recruits, and also some new faces to help us.

Stat Review: @Pitt (1/2/24)

STATVALUEPCTLEHISTORICAL COMPARISON
Base Stats
FG%37 8
UNC_statBox_5.png

3FG%29 31
UNC_statBox_30.png

2FG%39 9
UNC_statBox_5.png

FT%86 92
UNC_statBox_90.png

fg%31 94
UNC_statBox_90.png

3fg%17 93
UNC_statBox_90.png

2fg%41 71
UNC_statBox_70.png

ft%67 55
UNC_statBox_50.png

PTS/POSS0.84 25
UNC_statBox_20.png

pts/poss0.70 87
UNC_statBox_85.png

TOTPOSS165 41
UNC_statBox_40.png

POSDIF1 44
UNC_statBox_40.png

%LOB11 85
UNC_statBox_85.png

%lob10 10
UNC_statBox_5.png

SmithIdx0.048363
UNC_statBox_60.png

Interesting Stats
ast/poss0.07 95
UNC_statBox_95.png

AST/POSS0.14 18
UNC_statBox_15.png

OR%0.40 72
UNC_statBox_70.png

or%0.30 27
UNC_statBox_25.png

%FROM327.042
UNC_statBox_40.png


STAT = Statistic being reported
VALUE = Value of reported stat from the current game
PCTLE = Percentile When Compared to All UNC Games since 1996
Historical Comparison = Graphic Portrayal of PCTLE. Marks depict 20% quintiles, as well as 50%.

FG% = UNC Total Field Goal Percentage (47.0% avg since 1996)
3FG% = UNC 3-point Field Goal Percentage (35.6%)
2FG% = UNC 2-point Field Goal Percentage (51.4%)
FT% = UNC Free Throw Percentage (70.0%)
fg% = Opponent Total Field Goal Percentage (41.6%)
3fg% = Opponent 3-point Field Goal Percentage (33.8%)
2fg% = Opponent 2-point Field Goal Percentage (45.9%)
ft% = Opponent Free Throw Percentage (68.2%)
PTS/POSS = UNC Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.934)
pts/poss = Opponent Points Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.846))
POSS = UNC Total Possessions (Smith Method, 85.6)
POSDIF = UNC Advantage in Total Possessions (Smith Method, 2.03)
%LOB = UNC Percentage Loss of Ball (TO/POSS, 15.9)
%lob = Opponent Percentage Loss of Ball (to/poss, 16.4)

MOV = Margin of Victory (9.43)
%FROM3 = UNC Percentage of FG Attempts Taken From 3 (35.6%)
AST/POSS = UNC Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.20)
AST/FG = UNC Assists Per Field Goal (0.59)
AST/TO = UNC Assists Per Turnover (1.4)
OR% = UNC Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.344)
%from3 = Opponent Percentage of Shots Taken From 3 (33.8)
ast/poss = Opponent Assists Per Possession (Smith Method, 0.16)
ast/fg = Opponent Assists Per Field Goal (0.52)
ast/to = Opponent Assists Per Turnover (1.1)
or% = Opponent Percentage of Missed Shots that are Rebounded (0.241)
poss = Opponents Total Possessions (Smith Method) (83.6)
TOTPOSS = Total Possessions in the Game(Smith Method, 169.3)
SmithIdx = UNC Total of Pts/Poss minus Offensive Goal (0.95) + Defensive Goal (0.85) minus Opponent Pts/Poss (avg: -0.01)
Discussion
The past few years, Pitt has been an Achilles Heel for UNC, and despite playing very poorly for much of the game, the Heels got away with a win.

UNC scored 0.84 pts/possession on horrendous 37% shooting. It was the 926th-worst shooting night in the last 1003 for UNC. UNC was 29% from 3, which was the 681st worst showing, but the 2-point shooting was 39%, the 936th-worst shooting night we've seen in that period.

Luckily Pitt was just awful, shooting 17% from 3pt land and 41% from 2, resulting in 0.70 pts/poss. It was the 130th-worst showing by an opponent....or was it UNC's defense? The Heels only forced 10% loss of ball, the 918th-worst pressure put on an opponent since 1996.

The whole game was just plain old ugly; uglier than the Capels. One good takeaway is that UNC not only righted the ship after a horrible start, but rebounded 72% of their plentiful misses. That's the 26th best offensive rebounding night in the last 1003 games.

This team is shooting free throws well. As of the Pitt game, they are shooting 77.1% from the stripe, the highest level we've seen from a UNC team in the last 29 years. The program average for that period is 70.0% with a standard deviation of 3.4%.

An interesting stat came out about Duke's streak of games with a made 3-pointers. That stat for UNC stands at 926. The only game without a made 3 since I started tabulating this in 1996 was the 1998 game against Princeton. (One of these days I'll enhance my database back to 1985, but it's a busy time right now for me personally and professionally.)

They will need to shoot well on Saturday, however, as they travel to play a ranked Clemson team. This is a key inflection point in the season, and the Heels can really make a statement with a good showing in that one.
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What about clempson pre game?

I watched just a little bit of the game where they got dumped by Miami and tbh Clemson didn't look all that impressive. Hall does have range but he's not an interior dominant big .. and he does have an interior game but looks more like a 4 than 5. They have a little size at the guard slots and by the stats they look to be able to get some turnovers .. and they don't mind running yet don't look to have quality depth. They haven't really played a tough schedule so what, from a UNC standpoint (other than playing in Little John, where we usually suck) is the main concern?
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