I would suggest that RJ is feeling pressure to make a decision, his loyalty to UNC is deep and strong and he realizes that if he is going to leave Hubert needs to know quickly so he can work the portal for a replacement, which he has not been so far doing. Hubert has worked to address other position needs but nothing as far as a ball handling combo big time jump shooting 2 guard that covers the PG back up minutes. The closest thing is Seth's maybe return but he played with Seth last season. At some point Hubert is going to have to act as if RJ is gone.Which is better, another year of NIL here or getting started on the next stage of his career in Europe? I have no idea how those 2 incomes match up. I've heard that the pay over there can be pretty sweet, if you land on a good team. Marcus will have input on that, I imagine.
Another variable I can't assess is the impact of what his girlfriend does. Do they want to be near each other? How important is the relationship?
Is there anything that might push RJ away? What if Hubert doesn't land top transfers? It's one thing to speculate, as many have, that RJ can't improve his stock by returning. It's another to worry that returning might hurt his stock.
As sensible as @DaveChapelle's post was, I still think Hubert needs to deliver.
The girl friend, if he plays UNC/NBA/G/Over the water they are not going to be together a lot of the time so matter what they will not be together as much as they were.