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OOTB's Political Thread . ..

So how many years is it going to take for Italy to recover from this? They are shutting down everything but grocery stores and pharmacies. They might be screwed for a decade. It's hard to just start an economy back up.
 
So how many years is it going to take for Italy to recover from this? They are shutting down everything but grocery stores and pharmacies. They might be screwed for a decade. It's hard to just start an economy back up.

Tourism is a gigantic part of their economy and I'd imagine that won't pick back up for a long time.
 
Tourism is a gigantic part of their economy and I'd imagine that won't pick back up for a long time.
It's going to be really, really bad for them. With schools closed, you are looking at basic education being delayed. This is going to be a huge problem for them. Not sure how they recover anytime soon.
 
The term "next Great Depression" is being used in financial circles.

The markets are in free fall. It's a big shit sandwich.
 
Trump's address last night was very poor.

First, he looked/spoke like he was nervous as shit and wasn't at all a calming force. I personally care less about that than the three below but most voters care. He was labored in his breathing, stumbling over words, and using inflection at weird times.

Second, blaming other countries and not our own unpreparedness flies in the face of thousands of doctors around the country who say we royally ****ed up our testing process.

Third, he messed up a prepared statement's facts, which I thought was impossible. The ban to Europe caused overnights to temporarily tank because he incorrectly stated it was for everyone/trade and it was just for foreign nationals.

Fourth, he mentioned nothing about how we're going about testing improvements and why the spike in cases in March has gone from 50 to over 1,000 in 11 days. Instead we got shit about how great our economy is and how Europe is the one to blame.

This was bad.

Agreed, it was colossally bad and yet another reminder why he should not be president.
 
Oh come on, Strum. Surely it’s not going to be that bad. The virus isn’t going to hang around forever. Markets will improve after this is over.
I'm not sure Italy will be able to avoid it since they are shutting down the country. I could easily see an extended depression for them.
 
A health official just recommended the US do something similar to Northern Italy.

We could be shut down for a while. I need to go food shopping.
 
Oh come on, Strum. Surely it’s not going to be that bad. The virus isn’t going to hang around forever. Markets will improve after this is over.
Well... yeah, they probably will improve... AFTER it's all over.

As bad as this will be, there are some things to consider that are more optimistic. This is unprecedented, for the most part, at least in modern times. The cause of all of this is due to a virus. It's not because of people greedily bundling shit mortgages for a decade and selling them and forgetting that the insurance company has no way to cover the losses... etc..

When this finally runs its course, there will be lessons learned from all of it. If Apple wants ANY sales, maybe they'll make facilities that manufacture products in more than one country and pay living wages rather than lose it all. Maybe the USA chooses to manufacture at least some necessities here rather than having no access to them simply because profits are higher by doing it the current way.

Once this bug is done, things will start to get better.
 
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A health official just recommended the US do something similar to Northern Italy.

We could be shut down for a while. I need to go food shopping.
That's not feasible here for several reasons. It would also absolutely kill the economy. Italy is beyond screwed for a long time.
 
I'm interested to see if the election is pushed back. At some point these primaries will be pushed back. That will mean either the dems have less time to campaign in the general election or they reschedule the election.
 
Well... yeah, they probably will improve... AFTER it's all over.


When this finally runs its course, there will be lessons learned from all of it. If Apple wants ANY sales, maybe they'll make facilities that manufacture products in more than one country and pay living wages rather than lose it all. Maybe the USA chooses to manufacture at least some necessities here rather than having no access to them simply because profits are higher by doing it the current way.
I think this line of thinking is accurate, and is referred to as taking the white pill. (I don't care for the racial connotation of that, FWIW).

Whether one agrees or disagrees, I believe once things settle down, DJT will hammer the F out of bringing things manufactured in China, back to USA - or as a second resort, back to a country that isn't our most dangerous enemy. Nothing China does - or has done economically or during this virus pandemic - is in the interest of the US or of any country except China - even to the level of being a "pretty good citizen of the globe". The atrocities that Chinese govt have committed for many decades: economically, human rights abuse, torture, theft of security secrets, theft of intellectual business information.....the list goes on and on....

it is just sickening and reprehensible how pols from the USA (and corporate leaders, too) - have turned a blind eye to all the evils of Communist China - in the name of worshipping the almighty dollar..... (LeBron / NBA shmucks - I'm looking at you, too.....)

ETA: I think there might be a step back from being a global economy and having ease of travel for everyone globally. USA will become more nationalistic in nature....and I know nationalist is loaded with a lot of bad connotations (I think it is at the root of the term "Nazi") - but I wouldn't mind us at least looking to see what we can do to create things vital to our survival (antibiotics, vaccines) locally, or at least from an ally - even if it costs a lot more than making it in China.
 
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I do wish Trump would leave the Fed alone and let things play-out for a while and realize that he can't have a Stock Market picnic while this is happening. Commerce is not going to be as high of a priority while America is experiencing this bug's chapter in our lives.
 
I think this line of thinking is accurate, and is referred to as taking the white pill. (I don't care for the racial connotation of that, FWIW).

Whether one agrees or disagrees, I believe once things settle down, DJT will hammer the F out of bringing things manufactured in China, back to USA - or as a second resort, back to a country that isn't our most dangerous enemy. Nothing China does - or has done economically or during this virus pandemic - is in the interest of the US or of any country except China - even to the level of being a "pretty good citizen of the globe". The atrocities that Chinese govt have committed for many decades: economically, human rights abuse, torture, theft of security secrets, theft of intellectual business information.....the list goes on and on....

it is just sickening and reprehensible how pols from the USA (and corporate leaders, too) - have turned a blind eye to all the evils of Communist China - in the name of worshipping the almighty dollar..... (LeBron / NBA shmucks - I'm looking at you, too.....)

ETA: I think there might be a step back from being a global economy and having ease of travel for everyone globally. USA will become more nationalistic in nature....and I know nationalist is loaded with a lot of bad connotations (I think it is at the root of the term "Nazi") - but I wouldn't mind us at least looking to see what we can do to create things vital to our survival (antibiotics, vaccines) locally, or at least from an ally - even if it costs a lot more than making it in China.

“Nazi” was actually a derogatory term and a shortening of the organization “National Socialist Workers Party” in Germany. People used it originally to piss them off haha but the term stuck.
 
“Nazi” was actually a derogatory term and a shortening of the organization “National Socialist Workers Party” in Germany. People used it originally to piss them off haha but the term stuck.

It's funny you mention that. I was just asking a friend yesterday if he knew whether it was a German word or an acronym. He said an acronym, I suppose using the German words for what you put above.
 
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Bernie seemed to be in favor of delaying the primary amidst Coronavirus concerns... I wonder if he and his supporters would recommend delaying the general election for the same reasons?
 
Bernie seemed to be in favor of delaying the primary amidst Coronavirus concerns... I wonder if he and his supporters would recommend delaying the general election for the same reasons?
Seems to me like Bernie would benefit from not delaying the primary. Older people are being told that if they even look outside they are going to die. Those voters are more likely to support Biden, so in theory that means less of a group that Biden will win.
 
Seems to me like Bernie would benefit from not delaying the primary. Older people are being told that if they even look outside they are going to die. Those voters are more likely to support Biden, so in theory that means less of a group that Biden will win.

Agreed - I guess he and his team were either excuse making or just hoping to have anything at all stop the steamroller that is Joe Biden rolling over them right now, and figured if they could call a TO they might be able to get their ducks back in a row.
 
I don't think Bernie would have much of a chance, at this point, no matter what happens.

Looks like Biden is the choice. Might as well galvanize now.

We're in for some extremely tough times ahead. It's going to be exhausting for whoever is ultimately elected.

I can't imagine why anyone would even WANT to be president right now.
 
Well... when things are going well and it's basically running on autopilot, it's not that hard.

This shutdown is unprecedented. Trump is just a professional celebrity. Even the most qualified person would be severely tested to try to navigate through this situation and there's no map.
 
I don't think Bernie would have much of a chance, at this point, no matter what happens.

Looks like Biden is the choice. Might as well galvanize now.

We're in for some extremely tough times ahead. It's going to be exhausting for whoever is ultimately elected.

I can't imagine why anyone would even WANT to be president right now.
Yeah, Biden is going to win the nomination. The only chance Bernie has is to get a brokered convention and hope that Biden continues to show that he has some health issues.
 
Biden pretty much sounded like trump at the last debate. When Bernie called him out for trying to cut Medicare and social security, he just straight up lied about it, despite the fact that the videos are all over the internet. Then when Bernie called him out for using super pacs he accused Bernie of having 9 super pacs. It amazes me that anyone could support him.
 
Biden pretty much sounded like trump at the last debate. When Bernie called him out for trying to cut Medicare and social security, he just straight up lied about it, despite the fact that the videos are all over the internet. Then when Bernie called him out for using super pacs he accused Bernie of having 9 super pacs. It amazes me that anyone could support him.
You think Bernie is going to come out and support him like he did Clinton?
 
democratic-presidential-candidate-former-vice-president-joe-biden-picture-id1209595079
 
Biden pretty much sounded like trump at the last debate. When Bernie called him out for trying to cut Medicare and social security, he just straight up lied about it, despite the fact that the videos are all over the internet. Then when Bernie called him out for using super pacs he accused Bernie of having 9 super pacs. It amazes me that anyone could support him.
Status Quo Joe

He's Hillary Clinton without the brains and balls.
 
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Yes, it's all his fault. How dare him allow such a virus to infect our nation, and start shutting things down
Blaming the virus on him is about as reasonable as giving him credit for the economy before the downturn.
The markets are not believing him, or believing in him, that's for sure.

Trump is a great professional celebrity. He has the ability to get attention, but in a situation like this... he's the last person who can gain the trust of a lot of the people and institutions that are desperately needing reassurance. They just don't believe in him. I have a feeling that all he will have left is his most stubborn base who have personally attached themselves to his persona. He'll get the diehards in the South and rural states. But, he's going to lose bigly.
 
Yes because he’s commited to doing anything in his power to prevent Trump from winning again. But it won’t matter. Biden is possibly an even worse candidate than Hillary.
If we go into a recession, Biden has a good chance of winning. Then whoever his VP is will be president.
 
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