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OOTB's Political Thread . ..

gawd i wish you were trustworthy enough to bet.

I don't think she'll win Iowa, though it sounds like Des Moines and certain districts are flipping. I'll bet anyone $100 worth of bitcoin she wins the election though.
help me out here...if he isn't trustworthy to pay off, what exactly do you stand to lose by betting him anyway? Hmmmm? A little face along with some pocket change, maybe?

OOTB's Political Thread . ..

There is a less than zero percent chance that Harris wins Iowa and almost as small a chance she wins the election. Fancy a wager?
gawd i wish you were trustworthy enough to bet.

I don't think she'll win Iowa, though it sounds like Des Moines and certain districts are flipping. I'll bet anyone $100 worth of bitcoin she wins the election though.

OOTB's Political Thread . ..

And I think this is a great idea for joey, noir, blaze, gen store, strum, et al. Wonder what the reaction would be?

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Wanted: Attractive Hispanic woman to cook, clean, teach me Spanish and maybe more - in exchange for free room and board. No documents required.

Preseason Rankings: AP vs Pomeroy

Apparently you are no better at reading than you are at math. As I clearly and correctly stated above, OTHER than the ASTRONOMICALLY unlikely outliers of random arrays getting things anywhere close to right, any ranking by anyone familiar with college basketball will be better than random. If you want an idea of the crazy odds at those outliers hitting even close, with 364 teams the denominator in the damn fraction is 364 Factorial (!). If you don't know what that means, look it up.
*spoiler alert: the actual number will be 776 digits long (with no decimal points).

If this helps your visualization, the odds of a random ranking so much as placing all of the eventual Top-25 teams just somewhere in the top 182 (upper half) is:
1 out of 2-to-the-25th-power = 1 / 33,554,432.
In stark and demonstrative contrast, literally EVERYONE on this board will get at least that much right (barring a really weird outlier cinderella team emerging).

So... one last time, your premise is meaningless. Sorry if that hurts your feelings, but it is what it is.
And for the record, I didn't "come around" to anything. You can spout that disingenuous crap all you want but it doesn't mitigate the speciousness behind your obsessive arguing.

I also clearly stated I have neither the desire nor patience to deal any further with your stubborn unwillingness to learn, yet I just tried one last time. But, do not EVER tell me I'm posting "nonsense". I've done nothing more than state mathematical facts and left the "kicking and screaming" to you.

We're done here, so do NOT reply to this unless you finally "get it" --- you won't like what comes back.
Now you're just arguing something that wasn't the bone of contention in the beginning.

This is the trouble with the pissing contests you frequently get into with others. I should have known better than to engage.

OOTB's Political Thread . ..

I’m not close to being wager confident in either. I just like all the drama and the Iowa poll has created a lot. So on a scale of 1-5, 5 being most confident, where are you at on trump winning? I’m at around 3.5

4.9

That tenth of a percent is reserved for the potential of 300,000 votes being discovered. Out of no where. In the 11th hour. In swing states.

OOTB's Political Thread . ..

THIS. It's really hard for her, from an electoral standpoint, if she doesn't take PA. That's why they've had so many rallies, so much money, so much time there. I live miles from the Mason Dixon Line and get to PA regularly. The people up there must be so ready for Tuesday. Every commercial. Every billboard. 9 out 10 yards. They are all election related. People must be tuned out. Of course, the ads and shit will probably start on Friday for 2026 and 2028. I'm sure it's the same way in NC as well.

And you're right about Shapiro. They were too worried about pissing off the other side. But, it's not like they'd ever vote orange, so it was really more about turnout.
Yea it’s all but impossible for her without pa UNLESS that Iowa poll is accurate and that’s why everyone is making such a big deal about it.
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Ty Claude Cleared to Play

I am often accused of being too positive whatever that means so I tried to be conservative with the 10 deep thing. I was surprised by the dog in Claude and the rapid development of JB also! I believe this team can play 11 and not see significant drop off in effectiveness! Hubs could bring the Blue/White teams back and still have one left! I can't wait to see peeps try to figure out how to adjust to our waves of interchangeable talent who all have high motors and selfless attitudes!

OOTB's Political Thread . ..

Whoever wins pa wins the election. And Harris not choosing the jooish pa governor for vp is a huge fuk up.
THIS. It's really hard for her, from an electoral standpoint, if she doesn't take PA. That's why they've had so many rallies, so much money, so much time there. I live miles from the Mason Dixon Line and get to PA regularly. The people up there must be so ready for Tuesday. Every commercial. Every billboard. 9 out 10 yards. They are all election related. People must be tuned out. Of course, the ads and shit will probably start on Friday for 2026 and 2028. I'm sure it's the same way in NC as well.

And you're right about Shapiro. They were too worried about pissing off the other side. But, it's not like they'd ever vote orange, so it was really more about turnout.

Lets talk about sleep

I’m dreading the holiday visit to my parents.
Where do they live? Can't you clandestinely pop open a window? Surely it's getting down to 68 or so at night?

I once stayed on the top floor of a B&B at a holiday party where the owner had cranked up the heat for the dinner/party portion because there was so many coming and goings for the entertainment that things were cool in the house. They stayed in another building on site and forgot to return the thermostat to normal before heading off for the night. I woke up hours later roasting. Knew the thermostat was one of those "locked" models, so three windows went open even though it was in the 20's outside. Slept like a teenager.
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Lets talk about sleep

very funny, motherfvcker. Actually that works for me too. I become almost mesmerized by the majesty of my words. That and watching cab view train videos on youtube works just about as well.

I picked up on the a/c being cranked. Me too, I want cold. I can't do stuffy.
When I’m at a hotel or bnb and the power is on someone else’s dime…that shyt gets cranked down to 64. At home I begrudgingly make do with 68
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