Preseason Rankings: AP vs Pomeroy
- Tar Heel Radar
- 55 Replies
My understanding from something I read on his site years back is that his preseason rankings used to be based mainly on his ratings of returning players, coach ratings, and school tradition. In an era when players weren't moving around very much, that sounds like a pretty good foundation.Look, I'm not attacking you, I am (quite properly) calling out an "analytics" site that is "analyzing" something that hasn't happened yet.
These things are not in a vacuum. For example, that jackass Katz is already spouting off as to how the ACC is supposedly once again "down".
Seriously?
Again, the first shot hasn't been taken and invented narratives are already out there, and this junk affects ACC tourney bids and seeding (and thus, recruiting), whether or not some want to admit it.
PLUS... if you want to get to the nitty-gritty of the math, using arbutrary assumptions as baselines invariably skews the numbers.
pomeroy is what it is --- it ain't all that --- but should least wait for actual games to set their statistical baselines.
Obviously it's lacking in accounting for new recruiting classes, and I can't remember if he had some way of incorporating those data. And, of course, the portal era means tracking all those extra moves.
Seems to me Pomeroy's approach is a pretty smart way of looking at it. For those of us without your skills, it gives us a leg up on the coming season while we wait for the actual games, and for folks like you to weigh in.