At the moment we are tied in the loss column with Clemson at 5 losses each. We have 1 more win with 3 games to go, whereas Clemson has 4 games to go. If Pomeroy's projects are right both teams finish 10-6. That's good for a 4th place tie. Louisville, also projected to have 6 losses, slips to 6th because they have fewer wins.
If so, that means we land in 5th and only get a 1-round bye, because we lost to Clemson.
At least I think that's right.
Our conference games are
...which is to say that losing 1 game is certainly plausible.
Whereas Clemson has these games
That's an easier home stretch than ours, but not without danger.
Obviously we just need to take care of business, and see what happens.
If so, that means we land in 5th and only get a 1-round bye, because we lost to Clemson.
At least I think that's right.
Our conference games are
FSU (home)
Syracuse (away)
Duke (home)
...which is to say that losing 1 game is certainly plausible.
Whereas Clemson has these games
Wake (away)
Miami (home)
Syracuse (away)
Pitt (home)
That's an easier home stretch than ours, but not without danger.
Obviously we just need to take care of business, and see what happens.