Love Troudt, really hope we can get him and have stated that many times. BUT, lets consider the circumstance that we do not, so then what?
I posted a question in a reply a few days ago where I shared, while pretty much everyone right now is 100% convinced BOTH Bacot and Dawson will leave after this season (myself not far from that 100%) there is a part of me that questions that belief. First with Bacot, well he was near 90% to enter the draft (rather than play as a soph for us) prior to his before his frosh season and a solid majority still believed him gone at the end of his frosh season (a point I strongly disagreed with and did so many times here). But Bacot did not leave after his frosh season, he in fact not only played as a soph for us but was improved. He tested the NBA waters and will now play for us as a Jr. Point being Bacot has been assumed to be gone a lot and each time he has come back. Frankly, guys that improve but don't exactly explode, well they tend to find it harder to get a solid draft spot the longer they play college ball. From that view it could challenge that belief that Bacot is gone after this season.
You have to as well consider that the NBA tends to draft guys early (say after freshman seasons) that offer either special skills for their position or guys that are overly lengthy for their position. Not sure that Bacot has either of those, he isn't considered long for his position in the NBA and he isn't a skilled jump shooter as a couple examples. For the NBA, Bacot is a bit vanilla, tastes really good but you don't buy vanilla when you are in Baskin Robbins. Very effective college players do not always become very effective NBA players, a guy that used to wear jersey number 50 is an example of this.
And now there is the NIL effect, Bacot already has at least 1 NIL deal paying him and could well have others. IN other words he is now developing his marketing endorsement base and gets to do so from the huge base of UNC fans, how much more can he grow that as a UNC player, I could easy see him with a lot more endorsement ops as a UNC player than he would see in the G-league. That could well be reason enough for him to come back as a senior and play after this season for us.
I don't know that you can be 100% convinced Bacot is leaving after this season if you have read what I just shared and really think it thru. And tell me this, is there a freshman in the 22 class you would rather have play for us after this coming season that you would rather play as a Tar Heel than Bacot? I would easy taker Bacot as a senior over Lively or Troudt for that matter. And really, when you turn that same question toward Garcia, isn't it a very similar thing, Garcia as a shooter is a nice special skill for a big but that was snot enough this off season to have the NBA excited.
Finally, even if we missed on Troudt AND BOTH Bacot and Garcia leave, well we simply do what we did for this season, dip in to the portal and scoop out the next Manek & Garcias that want to be Tar Heels and keep on keeping on!