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OOTB's Political Thread . ..

@carolinablue34 uh oh! Things are looking worse by the day and hour for Team BlueAnon. Sorry 😂

We probably can’t bet at this point so I’ll just have to be satisfied with the Red Wave wins on Tuesday.

Total confidence in wins
Lake by 5+
Masters by 2+
Oz by 3+ (would be like 6+ with a better candidate than Oz
Jd Vance by 5+
Ron Johnson by 5+
Herschel by 2 but may go to runoff.
Laxalt NV by 4 +
Lee wins in Utah

less sure but better than 50-50 for Team Red
Zeldin upset Hochul in NY
NH senate goes R
Dixon wins MI
Jensen wins MN gov.

Abrams gets blown out in GA
Rubio wins by 10 desantis by 15 in FL.

There are 15 seats that are in swing or blue states. Let’s hear your predictions on these 15 and see who is more accurate

First off, the Democrats are not my team. I'm a registered independent. I'm simply more concerned with far right authoritarianism in this country than any other political movement. My predictions area as follows.

Lake
Kelly
Oz
Vance
Johnson
Warnock
Laxalt
Lee

Hochul
Hassan
Whitmer
Walz
Kemp
Rubio

But then again, I'm not treating this like some super charged tribalistic football game. You're a fool if you think the GOP is any better than the DNC.
 
First off, the Democrats are not my team. I'm a registered independent. I'm simply more concerned with far right authoritarianism in this country than any other political movement. My predictions area as follows.

Lake
Kelly
Oz
Vance
Johnson
Warnock
Laxalt
Lee

Hochul
Hassan
Whitmer
Walz
Kemp
Rubio

But then again, I'm not treating this like some super charged tribalistic football game. You're a fool if you think the GOP is any better than the DNC.
Dude if you don’t slurp trumps tiny orange balls, believe Covid was a dem conspiracy to defeat trump and murder magas in hospitals, believe joe Biden’s laptop is a portal to hell, that the right to own nukes is in the constitution, that antifa and the capitol police were behind Jan 6, that trump lost the election due to magic pens and rigged voting machines from Venezuela, and of course that a dem satanic reptilian cabal of clones is running a pedophile ring in the tunnels under the White House…..then you’re a commie socialist liberal child groomer. There are no independents. You either guzzle the maga kool aid or your agin ‘merica and will be burned in hell by republican blue eyed Jesus.
 
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Dude if you don’t slurp trumps tiny orange balls, believe Covid was a dem conspiracy to defeat trump and murder magas in hospitals, believe joe Biden’s laptop is a portal to hell, that antifa and the capitol police were behind Jan 6, that trump lost the election due to magic pens and rigged voting machines from Venezuela, and of course that a dem satanic reptilian cabal of clones is running a pedophile ring in the tunnels under the White House…..then you’re a commie socialist liberal child groomer.

Fairly accurate.
 
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Blatant, brazen election fraud. No election run by democrats in democrat strongholds should be considered valid and legitimate.

"
On August 2, 2020, Braden Giacobazzi, an Independent poll challenger, was thrown out of the absentee counting center in Detroit by “men in black” for allegedly asking too many questions, including why one of the monitors used to process the ballots had an icon in the corner that indicated it was online."

 
Dude if you don’t slurp trumps tiny orange balls, believe Covid was a dem conspiracy to defeat trump and murder magas in hospitals, believe joe Biden’s laptop is a portal to hell, that the right to own nukes is in the constitution, that antifa and the capitol police were behind Jan 6, that trump lost the election due to magic pens and rigged voting machines from Venezuela, and of course that a dem satanic reptilian cabal of clones is running a pedophile ring in the tunnels under the White House…..then you’re a commie socialist liberal child groomer. There are no independents. You either guzzle the maga kool aid or your agin ‘merica and will be burned in hell by republican blue eyed Jesus.
pronouns, dude, pronouns....

You can bring up details that denigrate the right til the cows come home, but all I have to do is remember the singlular fact that dems put forth a bill that would specifically allow abortion right up to the point of birth and that the bill almost passed, and you can point out anything you want to about the right and it will just go in one ear and out the other. A party that supports that will support anything.

And if for some reason the abortion thing slips my mind, I can go to the grocery store and get half the groceries for the money that I could two years ago, or think about MILLIONS of illegals being funneled into the country IN WILLFUL DISREGARD FOR OUR OWN LAWS, and I have no problem seeing that there's the dems and then there's any goddamn thing else that will thankfully oppose them.
 
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lol typical lib, spouting off about stuff that libs do but blame conservatives for. And exhibiting some of the worst TDS I've seen. What a crock of libshit.

The left has tried to subvert our democracy the entire time Trump has been in the picture, and now they just refuse to admit that it's coming back to bite them in the ass. You wouldn't believe it if you weren't seeing it.

Lol you're all for Bill Maher until he rightly blasts your party for using anti-democracy messaging and beliefs to win elections. Blaming the libs for what you and your ilk have actually done.

And you think I'm a hypocrite? That's rich.
 
Lol you're all for Bill Maher until he rightly blasts your party for using anti-democracy messaging and beliefs to win elections. Blaming the libs for what you and your ilk have actually done.

And you think I'm a hypocrite? That's rich.
you're being a hypocrite AND an idiot now. Nowhere have I said or indicated that I'm for Bill Maher. I said HE was a hypocrite, and I did so clearly. That's because he espouses things that the right does that differentiate them from the left, and then sums that up by bashing the right as if his devotion to the left was genetic. HE POINTS OUT, time after time, HOW THE RIGHT IS RIGHT and you ignore that; and then he does one bit that trashes the right, and you're right there. Hypocrisy is encoded into the liberal mindset.

And your idiocy doesn't end there but instead you are additionally becoming more and more like Heels Noir with your blatant dishonesty. Two politically motivated impeachments and a politically instigated investigation that, just for starters among so many things that tore at the roots of our democracy, will never be owned up to by you. Hypocrite.

ANSWER THE DAMN POST, you fvcking hypocrite. You won't and we all know why.
 
you're being a hypocrite AND an idiot now. Nowhere have I said or indicated that I'm for Bill Maher. I said HE was a hypocrite, and I did so clearly. That's because he espouses things that the right does that differentiate them from the left, and then sums that up by bashing the right as if his devotion to the left was genetic. HE POINTS OUT, time after time, HOW THE RIGHT IS RIGHT and you ignore that; and then he does one bit that trashes the right, and you're right there. Hypocrisy is encoded into the liberal mindset.

And your idiocy doesn't end there but instead you are additionally becoming more and more like Heels Noir with your blatant dishonesty. Two politically motivated impeachments and a politically instigated investigation that, just for starters among so many things that tore at the roots of our democracy, will never be owned up to by you. Hypocrite.

ANSWER THE DAMN POST, you fvcking hypocrite. You won't and we all know why.

I didn't answer because you are less and less inclined to actually debate in good faith and I don't feel any answer I give will be taken seriously unless it's what YOU want to hear. You just want to 'own the libs' and rip me to shreds. Not to mention you're just angry all the time. Chill the f**k out.
 
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Unrelated to all bullshit that usually goes on in this cesspool of a thread. But it's a great video and explains why things have never been the same since 2008.
 
Trump makes a huge mistake. I don't think he understands how popular De Santis is and how much better he handled the pandemic than Trump did.

Hey Trump, De Santis didn't hire Fauci. You did.


As much as a Trump second term would please the shit out of me, I really hope he’ll do the right thing and not run again. He’s unelectable. Not because he can’t legitimately win an election. But because he’s so hated that Dems and GOP leaders will come together to cheat him again. So because of that, we can’t have him going after the next best thing in DeSantis. Hopefully someone gets in his ear and convinces him of this. Maybe broker a deal where DeSantis will publicly credit Trump for everything after he wins.
 
I didn't answer because you are less and less inclined to actually debate in good faith and I don't feel any answer I give will be taken seriously unless it's what YOU want to hear. You just want to 'own the libs' and rip me to shreds. Not to mention you're just angry all the time. Chill the f**k out.
I have tried to debate in good faith with you, but you have demonstrated time after time that in spite of making good points to debate, you just relentlessly mouth your liberal agenda....all while claiming out of the other side of your mouth how neutral and unbiased you are. You always ignore common sense and plain truth to do so. Typically, instead of arguing any points, you'll say 'your post is full of logical fallacies, etc', without once attempting to identify any said logical fallacy.

I gave you once and for all a real opportunity to put your contention on the line and you won't take it. It isn't there for debate, it's there for you to show that you either are or are not a hypocrite. We all know why you won't address it because we've known it all along....you're just a liberal hypocrite, and then some.

Am I wrong? Show me. Answer what I posed to you in post # 42, 504. Show me that Hillary Clinton and a slew of others claiming that Trump was not legitimately elected and that he was not in fact the legit President, is qualitatively any different than Trump doing the same thing. Not different in detail or volume, just for all intents and purposes how that's any different in having some deleterious effect on democracy. You claimed that Trump was treasonous and dangerous in the way he poisoned minds. How is it that Hillary Clinton wasn't the same thing by saying the same thing. If Trump was responsible for J6, how were they not responsible for the BLM and antifa riots by creating a divide? I'd really like to see how that works.
 
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First off, the Democrats are not my team. I'm a registered independent. I'm simply more concerned with far right authoritarianism in this country than any other political movement. My predictions area as follows.

Lake
Kelly
Oz
Vance
Johnson
Warnock
Laxalt
Lee

Hochul
Hassan
Whitmer
Walz
Kemp
Rubio

But then again, I'm not treating this like some super charged tribalistic football game. You're a fool if you think the GOP is any better than the DNC.
So we have about 6 different - you have Kelly, Warnock, Hochul, Hassan, Whitmer, Walz.

You may be right. We will see. Here’s why I think things will go +R or -D is more accurate: some of these factors not measured in the polls.
- how pissed off all Rs and 70+% of indies, and some Ds are with Biden.
- how Rs - and many indies - have significantly higher intensity to vote than Ds. People are pissed. Tired of the BS and itching to make Ds pay. “No more bullshit!”
Ds squandering / losing of so many Hispanics, blacks, and suburban moms. You lose a ton of those three demos and prospects get bleak.

The reason Ds have lost these is: everybody is pissed off about: crime, the economy, the border, and especially parents are angry about the assault on kids by the Ds- school lockdowns, possible forced vax and mask, crt / drag / trans chemicals and surgeries and sports and bathrooms - issues being pushed in some schools. All these are unfavorable with 70+% of ALL voters.

Last thing for this post - there still is a measured higher reluctance for Rs and indies to answer national polls (media companies) accurately for fear of being flagged or tagged as conservative. But insider polls (the campaigns and parties themselves) which are more accurate show a red wave coming.

It is natural for momentum to continue to swing races in one way or another in the last two weeks that polls don’t catch up to. I’d be surprised - it’d be a sort of aberration for any race that was even in polls now - to swing to Dems given the momentum and enthusiasm gap on the ground this next few days.
 
One other factor that is hard to measure in polls is the double standard or the hypocrisy for some leaders in how they are selective and punitive in what they tell others to do vs what they do themselves. Or the leaders indifference to important issues.
Hochul “why do people make such a big deal of crime? We’re not that bad! Disregard the statistics”

Whitmer not letting people drive to their rural cabins while she takes multiple trips. She sends Covid patients into nursing homes to infect/ kill others. Disallows people growing their own food or buying paint (science!)

kelly being awol - burying head in sand on border invasion and related influx of fentanyl and deaths caused.

Walz here in Minnesota sending many Covid infected people into nursing homes, killing many more
Walz and others letting an entire city precinct burn, allowing riots with no control for many days.

Walz closing schools, businesses, churches, don’t gather in homes even for holidays - no graduations, funerals etc EXCEPT it was fine to have 3 - 4 jam packed George Floyd funerals and many shoulder to shoulder mass protests.

All this BS just puts a chip in common sense people’s memory banks. Treated like sht, like worthless no-rights peasants by their betters, overlords. No rights or freedoms at all

I could list a couple dozen more examples like these around crime, Covid response, education, inflation energy.

That’s what drive’s the intensity disparity. There is nothing on the left to get a similar turnout for the left. Abortion? Jan 6? Orange man? Ha ha give me a break.

by end of Tuesday so many will have cash in their “enough of the bullshit. Leave us alone!” chips.

I thin
 
pronouns, dude, pronouns....

You can bring up details that denigrate the right til the cows come home, but all I have to do is remember the singlular fact that dems put forth a bill that would specifically allow abortion right up to the point of birth and that the bill almost passed, and you can point out anything you want to about the right and it will just go in one ear and out the other. A party that supports that will support anything.

And if for some reason the abortion thing slips my mind, I can go to the grocery store and get half the groceries for the money that I could two years ago, or think about MILLIONS of illegals being funneled into the country IN WILLFUL DISREGARD FOR OUR OWN LAWS, and I have no problem seeing that there's the dems and then there's any goddamn thing else that will thankfully oppose them.
Well yea it works both way for sure. I don’t support abortion after 25 weeks. But I could say a party that supports overthrowing democratic elections without proof of any fraud is capable of anything too. We could do it all day. What my point was is that opposing trump doesn’t make you a liberal. Blind loyalty to anyone in either party is idiocy.
 
“This really is the crossing the Rubicon moment, when election deniers are elected, which is often how countries slide into authoritarianism,” Maher said. “Not with tanks in the streets but by the electing people who then have no intention of ever giving it back.”

As some authoritarian said - it isn't who votes or how many, it is who counts the votes.
 
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“This really is the crossing the Rubicon moment, when election deniers are elected, which is often how countries slide into authoritarianism,” Maher said. “Not with tanks in the streets but by the electing people who then have no intention of ever giving it back.”
It's been sliding for a very long time. It's been sliding for over 30 years, I'd say. I think the end of the Fairness Doctrine in the 1980s really lit the fuse. Americans are just as dumb as any other civilized nation (however you define that). And, that helped keep opinions from becoming perceived as being facts.

And, with the advent of the internet and then the obsession with celebrity and the barrage of social media and the algorithms that all work to hasten the eventual falling-off-the-cliff, it's just unavoidable. The media makes a huge profit from knocking-out the foundations, too.

ETA: I forgot... politicians will do whatever it takes to keep their gravy train position- BOTH SIDES! They would never relinquish their free rides, even if it means the whole thing is eroded and essentially gone.

I think Maher mentioned how ancient Greece had it for a while and lost it. And, the USA lasted a little longer. It always had a shelf life/expiration date.
 
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As if that's not what happened already . . . . . . . .
LOL... see? There ya go! "THEY'RE just as bad as WE are!"

One "side" racing the other to the bottom as fast as they can, pointing the blame at the other, all the way down.
 
lol, libs can't make a point without blatantly distorting the truth. Maher says the people who will vote for conservatives are election deniers....that they 'don't believe in the crazy idea that the guy with the most votes wins'.. For starters, the presidential election isn't decided that way to begin with, and someone as prominent and as intelligent as Bill Maher should know better.

Secondly, he knows damn well that virtually none of the people voting conservative don't understand the concept of the most votes winning...it's how those votes come about that is being contested. Again he should and does know better but a lib has to lie to seem to be making a point, no matter who he is.
 
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For starters, the presidential election isn't decided that way to begin with, and someone as prominent and as intelligent as Bill Maher should know better.
At least Maher knows that Trump didn’t win the electoral or the popular vote in 2020….
 
LOL... see? There ya go! "THEY'RE just as bad as WE are!"

One "side" racing the other to the bottom as fast as they can, pointing the blame at the other, all the way down.
There ya go again. . . . . . making assumptions. I never said anything about the "other" side. I think that statement can be made and, frankly, has been made about the previous two administrations: Orange started an insurrection; Obie used the intelligence apparatus of his own government to spy on that same candidate/successor. Isn't that both?
 
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