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OOTB's Political Thread . ..

I saw this and thought of a few posters here
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"'I have chased every rabbit hole where folks have said FEMA turned something away or refused to do this or confiscated that, and I found every single one of those to be false,' Edwards (R.-NC) said Thursday. 'None of them have been corroborated at all.'"

It's as if the maga trumptards really enjoy having moronic smoke blown up their collective asses.
 
I wonder if Vegas takes the keys professor into consideration. His predictions seem pretty strong. I hadn't heard of this guy before this year. He predicted Trump in 2016 and stuck with him even after the Grab'em by the pussy tape. According to him, there's no such thing as an October surprise. Campaigns don't matter, either, really. They've used his keys for every election going back to Lincoln and they were always right.
They may take him into account. They likely do if they consider him a true "sharp" with legit knowledge.
 
They may take him into account. They likely do if they consider him a true "sharp" with legit knowledge.
I hadn't heard of him before this election cycle. He insists that debates don't matter, campaigms don't really matter, and none of these "October Surprises" make any real difference. Once the candidates are chosen by the parties, he makes his predictions based on his interpretation of the circumstances, and then applies them to those 13 keys.

He picked DJT in 2016 and was laughed at, especially after the Access Hollywood tape, and all the backlash from that. He never flinched. He said Trump would still win.
 
I guess Hark doesn't need further evidence or coaxing. He obviously knows Trump is in the losers bracket which explains why he hasn't put money on him after all the big talk just a few short months ago.
Where to begin with this one... First, I'm not sure I ever said what I personally "thought" the result of the election would be. I said that I trust what the Vegas odds say the election result would be, because they have actual skin in the game ($$$) compared to whatever blowhard pollsters and media talking heads have.

Second, at the time Trump was over -200 to win. It's rare that I lay 2 to 1 on any bet. Especially one where I have no model for it and am purely basing my handicapping off feels. I was willing to bet you, because as opposed to betting against the House that certainly knows more than me, I'd be betting against someone with even less knowledge than my own miniscule amount. But alas, you weren't willing to put your money where your mouth was.

Third, if you had asked me a few weeks ago I would have said I thought Kamala would win the election because she was actually favored by the Vegas odds. However, that has now flipped back to having Trump as the favorite (must have been all these great interviews she's been doing 🤣). Check it out for yourself: https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

TL;DR: GFY
 
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I was willing to bet you, because as opposed to betting against the House that certainly knows more than me, I'd be betting against someone with even less knowledge than my own miniscule amount. But alas, you weren't willing to put your money where your mouth was.
Geez, I've never known someone to get his panties in such a wad simply because I won't place a bet with him. I've given you my reasons, namely of which is because the one and only time I ever wagered with someone here, the jackass welched and never paid up. Lesson learned.

There are virtually millions of people out there who will take your bet. Go bother them.
 
I love comments like this. It's like saying "prove that the square root of 71 is 8.426149773176359, but you can't use math."
did you use math to derive the square root of 71, or did you use a calculator? So much for your lame analogy.

But to your supposed point, it isn't like that at all. It's like give me an explanation of inflation and getting a non-answer of 'inflation means something is getting bigger'. You know, a Kamala Harris level of nonsense.
 
Sounds a bit like four years ago: "I will build a great wall and I'll have Mexico pay for that wall."

Maybe Cumala can suck Zelenskys dick and get him to stop asking for money. Hell, if she sucks cock well enough to get promotions, she surely can get an old, wyte man weak in the knees and willing to listen.
 
QPolicies, smolicies. I have no idea what his policies were but my 401k did better in the 4 years Trump was in office than it did the 12 years the dims were/are in office combined. Explain how that happened if Trump was so bad.
If this is true you need to take a hard look at how you’re investing
 
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Hahahaha. I check out for a couple days and miss @joeydavid 's meltdown. Why is he all of a sudden poasting so much more? And his tone is quite different than it was when he first started poasting here. Anxiety and nervousness will do that to you, I reckon. This is Joey coming to grips with Kamala having almost no path now to a win. Or maybe Joey is a known loon and is poasting under a new name. Maybe I'll check in with @heelbent and see if he's just "sharing internet" with one of our former or current loser liberals.

Hey @joeydavid , when Trump wins and you undoubtedly scream at the sky, will you record it for me?
 
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Hahahaha. I check out for a couple days and miss @joeydavid 's meltdown. Why is he all of a sudden poasting so much more? And his tone is quite different than it was when he first started poasting here. Anxiety and nervousness will do that to you, I reckon. This is Joey coming to grips with Kamala having almost no path now to a win. Or maybe Joey is a known loon and is poasting under a new name. Maybe I'll check in with @heelbent and see if he's just "sharing internet" with one of our former or current loser liberals.

Hey @joeydavid , when Trump wins and you undoubtedly scream at the sky, will you record it for me?

Just curious, even ultra conservative pollster Frank Luntz's prediction has trump losing again. Why do think he's not?
 
Remember when mr free speech Musk blocked Ken K because he posted a link to the Vance dossier? Trump campaign reached out to Musk regarding this.
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Remember when mr free speech Musk blocked Ken K because he posted a link to the Vance dossier? Trump campaign reached out to Musk regarding this.
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Not that I don’t trust your always carefully chosen, nonpartisan sources, but do you have a link instead of a screenshot?
 
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I'd be betting against someone with even less knowledge than my own miniscule amount.
Speaking of a minuscule amount of knowledge, aren't you the one who was trying to bet during the midterms with another poster and you wanted to put your money on Walker over Warnock and Oz over Fetterman?
🤣
Do you lose your shorts often?
 
JV Vance is just such an unlikable weirdo. He definitely wears the scars of being a closeted gay man pretending to be otherwise.

 
Do you have Google? This isn't obscure fact.
do you have a clue, toadstool? It's common courtesy to link to the source of your information from the internet. Until you do, whatever you present is not just obscure but untrustworthy, and especially not to be taken seriously from someone like you.
 
Just curious, even ultra conservative pollster Frank Luntz's prediction has trump losing again. Why do think he's not?
He doesn't believe Trump is going to win. He has never thought Trump really had a chance:
As much as a Trump second term would please the shit out of me, I really hope he’ll do the right thing and not run again. He’s unelectable.
 
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