Well... I trust the guy with the Keys. He's got the best prediction model that I've ever seen. It's not a time machine, but I am convinced that he can call them better than anyone else. If I HAD to bet, I'd bet that Harris wins.
However, I hope Trump wins because, I think... I hope... the outcome will go more smoothly that way. I don't want there to be courtroom fights and mud-slinging, which will lead to culture fights and probably violence. It doesn't matter who wins, it's going to end badly. I'm just hoping for the easiest outcome, with the least amount of division. I believe that Harris will concede if she loses. I know Trump will never concede if he loses. And, I know that his lack of humility, in that regard, will do more damage (long term an short term) to the country's cultural balance.