@DSouthr
So my first question is if as you say Seth needs to play with Withers " to clear some driving space", why would you not start Withers and let Cadeau enjoy some extra driving space as well?
Never said Withers can't start with Cadeau. I would prefer Ingram at the 4, so that's why I said maybe Withers and Seth would be the first dudes off the bench.
Next, if Seth needs to play with Withers to enjoy that extra driving space they why so concerned with what % Seth may shoot from trey, hard to take a trey when you are driving the lane.
Because if Seth can't shoot, his primary defender can still sag off into the paint. And I'm assuming Seth will play with Bacot or Okonkwo. Any screen, defenders can just go under and it clogs the paint anyways. He's gonna have to occasionally make a perimeter shot or a mid range J.
I don't really need to say it but I absolutely have Seth as Cadeau's primary back up and I don't want Cadeau having to play over 30mins, I would actually prefer 25, I don't want any player having to play over 25mins a game ON AVERAGE.
I don't know where the 30 minutes line of demarcation came from but this is Roy's history:
2004-05: Felton 31.7 MPG, May 26.7 MPG, McCants 25.9 MPG
2007-08: Hansbrough 33.0 MPG, Ellington 31.1 MPG, Ginyard 28.1 MPG, Lawson 25.3 MPG
2008-09: Ellington 30.4 MPG, Hansbrough 30.3 MPG, Lawson 29.9 MPG, Green 27.4 MPG
2010-11: Barnes 29.4 MPG, Zeller 28.1 MPG, Strickland 27.0 MPG, Henson 26.7 MPG, Marshall in conf play 35 MPG
2011-12: Marshall 33.0 MPG, Barnes 29.2 MPG, Henson 29.1 MPG, Zeller 28.2 MPG
2015-16: Paige 31.6 MPG, Berry 30.6 MPG, Jackson 28.4 MPG, Johnson 28.0 MPG
2016-17: Jackson 32.0 MPG, Berry 30.4 MPG
I picked the Final Four teams plus the two Marshall seasons. Those are widely concerned Roy's best teams.
I don't think a 25 minute limit is realistic. I don't know if there's any college team where their leading minutes player averages 25 minutes per game.
I know everyone had some PTSD from last year but this picking of 30 minutes as a limit just has never been the case for any of the really good Roy teams. And that's even considering Roy had NBA big guys frequently come off the bench (Marvin Williams, Ed Davis, Tony Bradley). And even for those teams, big guys played over 25 minutes. And played over 30 minutes in one case.
What's your minutes preference for each player on our roster? In a big picture sense. I know it can change game-to-game based on circumstances.
I'm not advocating for dudes to play 35 MPG unless we absolutely have to do to injury. Also, if Seth is an offensive 0 again, then Cadeau will likely have to play more minutes. I hope Seth gets a reasonable opportunity to show what he's got. I hope he takes advantage of it. But I also don't want to force minutes on Seth because of some minutes limit that has never been followed in the last 20+ years at UNC.