OOTB's Political Thread . ..

[tarheel0910]

Agreed. That's not how the media pushed it though.

What the media says and what the data shows are two different things. They're going to push what gets views.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Just trying to learn some more about polls. You seem to be very knowledgeable about polls, so I'll just defer to your opinion from now on.

All you need to know about polling and statistics is that it's very easily manipulated.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

What the media says and what the data shows are two different things. They're going to push what gets views.

I agree with this for the most part.

 

[cletusnow]

The tax cuts were a mistake. You never cut taxes when the economy is doing well like he did. You save that to use when you're in a recession and we are several years overdue for one.

Go back to playing in your own poop.

 

[strummingram]

The state numbers were wrong too. Here's the problem with trying to gauge Trump's popularity. A lot of people aren't going to admit they're voting for Trump because they don't want to deal with all the deranged TDS behavior. They don't want people stalking them online, threatening their job, or threatening their life. So, instead of being honest, they're going to lie.

Now, here's a gem that should be framed. I think you might have TDS. There seems to be two strains.

 

[uncboy10]

Just trying to learn some more about polls. You seem to be very knowledgeable about polls, so I'll just defer to your opinion from now on.

Same here. I didn’t even know statistics wasn’t math until NS4U came along. But now I know all of those math professors out there teaching statistics are a bunch of globalist liars.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

EXCLUSIVE: 'This stings!' How Obama saw Trump's victory as a 'personal insult,' watched the movie Dr. Strange to distract himself from election results and blamed Hillary for the loss because of her 'scripted, soulless campaign'

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...ary-2016-loss-scripted-soulless-campaign.html

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Now, here's a gem that should be framed. I think you might have TDS. There seems to be two strains.

With what part did you take issue?

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Same here. I didn’t even know statistics wasn’t math until NS4U came along. But now I know all of those math professors out there teaching statistics are a bunch of globalist liars.

Just stop. You know stats isn't a concrete subject like geometry. At least you should know it at this point. It was the first thing our professor told us in Stats I.

 

[strummingram]

With what part did you take issue?

It's cool... you're in enough danger already.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

It's cool... you're in enough danger already.

 

[tarheel0910]

Just stop. You know stats isn't a concrete subject like geometry. At least you should know it at this point. It was the first thing our professor told us in Stats I.

Sounds like he was a douche. You would think the man would have told you hello first.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Sounds like he was a douche. You would think the man would have told you hello first.

Actually, it was a woman you misogynist.

 

[strummingram]

Actually, it was a woman you misogynist.

Did you misogynist her often?

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Did you misogynist her often?

No, she was like a female version of Ben Stein.

 

[strummingram]

No, she was like a female version of Ben Stein.

And? Did you try to misogynist her?

 

[NoleSoup4U]

And? Did you try to misogynist her?

Answer is still, "no." LOL!

 

[prlyles]

Yeah, that 1.5% annual uptick. What an economic genius.

What is this 1.5 percent?

 

[prlyles]

No. I'm following the sage advice I got on this board. Never trust a poll, especially if it comes from that liberal, fake news, bastion CNN. Should I ignore that advice? Also, why are you making personal attacks at me?


No it can't continue forever, but there is a difference between a slowdown and/or a dip vs a recession. Are you saying the only reason we are overdue for a recession is because there hasn't been a recession?

A bad slow down or recession, yes that is what I’m saying. This has nothing to do with Obama or Trump. We are just due for one or the other.

 

[prlyles]

I know Presidents will get credit /blame for the economy. I just think their actual impact is largely overstated.

Correct

 

[nctransplant]

What is this 1.5 percent?

The Real GDP growth under Obama was 1.88%

 

[prlyles]

Go back to playinghe in your own poop.

I will, and you go back to being one of the brightest posters in this forum..

 

[strummingram]

Answer is still, "no." LOL!

 

[tarheel0910]

Is that math solid or more like a poll?

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Oh, I got it, dude.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Is that math solid or more like a poll?

The truth is, it doesn’t really matter. What does matter is: length times diameter, plus weight over girth, divided by angle of of the tip squared.

 

[strummingram]

Is that math solid or more like a poll?

Neether wun

 

[NoleSoup4U]

The Slum Lord is going to announce he's running in 2020, as per sauces.

https://www.nydailynews.com/news/po...0190503-xsjuocb7zfhqxhh5vmoi3dup5q-story.html

Edit: I'm curious as to what @dadika13 thinks about DeBlasio. I don't know a ton about his politics. I think he's a scumbag, but it isn't like Trump is a really nice guy either.

 

[Heelicious]

All you need to know about polling and statistics is that it's very easily manipulated.

What seems crazy and unethical to me is how - in many polls outside of "do you support candidate X" ? Y/N.....
is how the pollsters can word almost any question to get whatever answer the pollster might want.... and poll respondents might answer a question completely opposite their original response, if a similar basic question is worded in a way that leads toward the different response. That's what's hard to trust about some polls..

 

[prlyles]

The economy was doing well? On what planet? Of course, you should never attempted to nded it with to help out the people. Just wait until the corporations get themselves into trouble again and to hell with everyone else.

Obama started his term with 10 percent unemployment and ended it with 4,6 percent. Trump started with 4.6 and now it’s 3.8

 

[uncboy10]

Obama started his term with 10 percent unemployment and ended it with 4,6 percent. Trump started with 4.6 and now it’s 3.8

This is what people struggle with. Relative change is apparently a hard concept for people.

Growth is being inflated with artificially low interest rates right now. Stocks are probably overvalued, and real estate is definitely overvalued, so we're probably going to see another correction soon to soonish.

Wage stagnation coupled with inflation also means that it gets cheaper and cheaper every day for firms to hire labor, and employees are worse and worse off. Obviously demand for labor will be extremely high when the cost of hiring is so low, but that doesn't do much for working class people. Getting people hired is only the tip of the iceberg, and doesn't address the growing income and wealth gaps.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

This is what people struggle with. Relative change is apparently a hard concept for people.

Growth is being inflated with artificially low interest rates right now. Stocks are probably overvalued, and real estate is definitely overvalued, so we're probably going to see another correction soon to soonish.

Wage stagnation coupled with inflation also means that it gets cheaper and cheaper every day for firms to hire labor, and employees are worse and worse off. Obviously demand for labor will be extremely high when the cost of hiring is so low, but that doesn't do much for working class people. Getting people hired is only the tip of the iceberg, and doesn't address the growing income and wealth gaps.

That has nothing to do with either Obama or Trump. That's the nature of the overspending and fractional reserve banking beast.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Obama started his term with 10 percent unemployment and ended it with 4,6 percent. Trump started with 4.6 and now it’s 3.8

How many years and how much money did it take him to do that?

Edit: Not to mention that a lot of those employment numbers were driven by the ACA.

 

[uncboy10]

That has nothing to do with either Obama or Trump. That's the nature of the overspending and fractional reserve banking beast.

Where did I say anything about obama or trump in that post? Maybe you’re the one with the derangement syndrome.

 

[prlyles]

Edit: Not to mention that a lot of those employment numbers were driven by the ACA.

. The ACA?

 

[prlyles]

How many years and how much money did it take him to do that?

Are you asking me to show you how to use Google?

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Where did I say anything about obama or trump in that post? Maybe you’re the one with the derangement syndrome.

Because we were talking about Trump's and Obama's effect on the economy.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

Are you asking me to show you how to use Google?

Oh, I already know the answer to that. Do you?

 

[nctransplant]

Wages are up 3% and growing by percentage faster for the middle class.

 

[NoleSoup4U]

LULZ!