But who do you think is moving to these red states to bump up their population?
I'd bet Texas will go blue in a Presidential election the next 11 years, Austin and the Dallas suburbs are exploding with younger dems. Colorado is now even more blue with the hippies and mountain bikers invading Denver. NC's growth is mostly new tech / financial brands in Charlotte and RDU which will always lean blue.
I saw this shift as bad for Republicans and the hope we gain the house/senate back.
I think it'd be interesting to see the demographics and the political background of the net moves into states. I believe there are vast numbers of people moving from blue states to red, to get to a friendlier tax / government climate (and nicer weather, too in some cases). CA to TX moves. NY and the other northeast states to FL, NC, SC, etc. TX is largely growing because of immigration and eventual citizenship, too.
Eventually, a bad economy, huge inflation, through-the-roof crime rates, high energy prices, loss of jobs - those sorts of issues tend to impact a vast majority of voters. Everyone needs to eat and be safe and have a job. These things eventually trump a group of voters' left-leaning tendencies.
Interesting in that CO and maybe even TX are now becoming more swing states than FL and OH, which are pretty solid red now.
You hear a lot of people in states like TX, TN, FL pushing back pretty hard: "don't California my Texas". Don't bring the policies / don't vote a way here, that fkd up the state you're fleeing.
I generally believe that maybe as high as 60% of voters tend to vote for their economic, public safety, schools, personal interests - and judge candidates based on these factors regardless of party. They vote for the best man (or woman) that aligns with their needs.
You may be right about TX in next 11 years. It will be interesting to see what happens in '22. I think that is why Biden and friends are full-court-press right now with pushing the most radical, unconstitutional junk ever pushed by a party (court packing, DC , Puerto Rico as states, remove the filibuster, HR1).
They know a little about history, and historically it is likely they lose the house and maybe the Senate in '22. Then it is hard to get anything done. But pushing for these items now, is very unpopular with average voters, and only increases the likelihood the Dems do lose control of both houses.